MLB SIM — APR 11

Time

Value

Confidence

APR 11 SLATE 15 GAMES

5.2

5.4

—

WIN PROB

46% — 54%

O/U 10.6

ML PHI ML C:4 V:1

PHI

—

Brandon Pfaadt

Yakker

RHP

Taijuan Walker

Heater-Heavy

RHP

wOBA AZ .34

PHI .337 EVEN

TIER T3_Standard (1.00×)

T3_Standard (1.00×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = AZ 5.2 — PHI 5.4

vs T3_Standardvs T3_Standard

1:05 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

AZ LINEUP

1 Ketel Marte 99

2B · R 95-99

.37 🧬 .469 60PA

2 Corbin Carroll 56

DH · R 52-60

.372 🧬 .295 63PA

3 Geraldo Perdomo 99

SS · R 95-99

.352 🧬 .5 76PA

4 Adrian Del Castillo 60

C · R 56-64

.31 🧬 .312 24PA

5 Jose Fernandez 81

1B · R 77-85

.376 🧬 .376 NEW

6 Nolan Arenado 55

3B · R 51-59

.365 🧬 .293 86PA

7 Tim Tawa 60

LF · R 56-64

.277 🧬 .311 13PA

8 Alek Thomas 47

CF · R 43-51

.29 🧬 .255 50PA

9 Jorge Barrosa 47

RF · R 43-51

.301 🧬 .253 8PA

PHI LINEUP

1 Trea Turner 80

SS · R 76-84

.367 🧬 .372 119PA

2 Kyle Schwarber 95

DH · R 91-99

.376 🧬 .429 121PA

3 Bryce Harper 64

1B · R 60-68

.4 🧬 .323 107PA

4 Brandon Marsh 88

LF · R 84-92

.341 🧬 .396 97PA

5 Bryson Stott 46

2B · R 42-50

.313 🧬 .246 120PA

6 Adolis García 53

RF · R 49-57

.315 🧬 .282 130PA

7 J.T. Realmuto 68

C · R 64-72

.341 🧬 .334 106PA

8 Alec Bohm 59

3B · R 55-63

.334 🧬 .308 101PA

9 Justin Crawford 72

CF · R 68-76

.351 🧬 .347 10PA

4.3

4.9

MIA

—

WIN PROB

44% — 56%

O/U 9.2

ML DET ML C:6 V:2

DET

—

Janson Junk

Yakker

RHP

Casey Mize

Heater-Heavy

RHP

wOBA MIA .316

DET .343 DET +.027

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T1_Apex (0.87×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = MIA 4.3 — DET 4.9

vs T1_Apexvs T1_Apex

1:10 PM ET · Comerica Park

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

MIA LINEUP

1 Jakob Marsee 51

CF · R 47-55

.326 🧬 .278 39PA

2 Xavier Edwards 75

2B · R 71-79

.343 🧬 .357 118PA

3 Agustín Ramírez 52

C · R 48-56

.312 🧬 .281 96PA

4 Liam Hicks 68

DH · R 64-72

.335 🧬 .334 87PA

5 Otto Lopez 48

SS · R 44-52

.326 🧬 .258 98PA

6 Owen Caissie 92

RF · R 88-96

.359 🧬 .411 8PA

7 Connor Norby 67

1B · R 63-71

.322 🧬 .333 66PA

8 Graham Pauley 58

3B · R 54-62

.279 🧬 .306 45PA

9 Heriberto Hernández 53

LF · R 49-57

.325 🧬 .285 48PA

DET LINEUP

1 Kevin McGonigle 68

SS · R 64-72

.354 🧬 .336 11PA

2 Wenceel Pérez 71

RF · R 67-75

.316 🧬 .344 88PA

3 Colt Keith 70

3B · R 66-74

.331 🧬 .342 158PA

4 Dillon Dingler 56

C · R 52-60

.332 🧬 .298 116PA

5 Riley Greene 77

DH · R 73-81

.346 🧬 .363 168PA

6 Kerry Carpenter 90

LF · R 86-94

.355 🧬 .404 145PA

7 Spencer Torkelson 71

1B · R 67-75

.328 🧬 .345 154PA

8 Zach McKinstry 59

2B · R 55-63

.315 🧬 .31 136PA

9 Matt Vierling 70

CF · R 66-74

.316 🧬 .342 26PA

4.9

4.4

PIT

—

WIN PROB

50% — 50%

O/U 9.3

CHC

—

Braxton Ashcraft

Triple Threat

RHP

Edward Cabrera

Triple Threat

RHP

wOBA PIT .323

CHC .329 CHC +.006

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T2_Core (0.95×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = PIT 4.9 — CHC 4.4

vs T1_Apexvs T2_Core

2:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

PIT LINEUP

1 Oneil Cruz 69

CF · R 65-73

.33 🧬 .34 155PA

2 Brandon Lowe 66

2B · R 62-70

.35 🧬 .33 155PA

3 Bryan Reynolds 76

LF · R 72-80

.353 🧬 .358 173PA

4 Ryan O'Hearn 82

RF · R 78-86

.348 🧬 .379 153PA

5 Marcell Ozuna 60

DH · R 56-64

.358 🧬 .31 156PA

6 Nick Yorke 58

3B · R 54-62

.309 🧬 .302 21PA

7 Spencer Horwitz 97

1B · R 93-99

.347 🧬 .438 136PA

8 Konnor Griffin 40

SS · R 40-44

.204 🧬 .196 6PA

9 Henry Davis 47

C · R 43-51

.258 🧬 .249 76PA

CHC LINEUP

1 Nico Hoerner 66

2B · R 62-70

.341 🧬 .329 114PA

2 Michael Busch 75

1B · R 71-79

.35 🧬 .356 114PA

3 Alex Bregman 63

3B · R 59-67

.365 🧬 .321 91PA

4 Ian Happ 96

LF · R 92-99

.351 🧬 .434 113PA

5 Moisés Ballesteros 63

DH · R 59-67

.344 🧬 .32 20PA

6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 48

CF · R 44-52

.32 🧬 .26 109PA

7 Miguel Amaya 51

C · R 47-55

.321 🧬 .278 22PA

8 Michael Conforto 64

RF · R 60-68

.339 🧬 .323 104PA

9 Dansby Swanson 68

SS · R 64-72

.326 🧬 .335 112PA

4.8

4.9

MIN

—

WIN PROB

46% — 54%

O/U 9.7

ML TOR ML C:4 V:0

TOR

—

Joe Ryan

Heater-Heavy

RHP

Eric Lauer

Cutman

LHP

wOBA MIN .327

TOR .335 TOR +.008

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T1_Apex (0.87×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = MIN 4.8 — TOR 4.9

vs T1_Apexvs T1_Apex

3:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

MIN LINEUP

1 Byron Buxton 76

CF · R 72-80

.355 🧬 .36 59PA

2 Austin Martin 88

RF · R 84-92

.333 🧬 .396 33PA

3 Luke Keaschall 46

2B · R 42-50

.339 🧬 .245 32PA

4 Ryan Jeffers 95

C · R 91-99

.333 🧬 .426 60PA

5 Josh Bell 72

DH · R 68-76

.353 🧬 .346 28PA

6 Victor Caratini 56

1B · R 52-60

.323 🧬 .298 29PA

7 Trevor Larnach 60

LF · R 56-64

.332 🧬 .312 28PA

8 Brooks Lee 71

SS · R 67-75

.288 🧬 .343 60PA

9 Ryan Kreidler 41

3B · R 40-45

.205 🧬 .213 9PA

TOR LINEUP

1 George Springer 96

DH · R 92-99

.373 🧬 .432 152PA

2 Daulton Varsho 84

CF · R 80-88

.324 🧬 .383 95PA

3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 81

1B · R 77-85

.387 🧬 .375 210PA

4 Jesús Sánchez 59

LF · R 55-63

.323 🧬 .309 179PA

5 Davis Schneider 58

2B · R 54-62

.329 🧬 .304 51PA

6 Nathan Lukes 62

RF · R 58-66

.322 🧬 .318 142PA

7 Ernie Clement 49

3B · R 45-53

.312 🧬 .264 161PA

8 Andrés Giménez 54

SS · R 50-58

.308 🧬 .288 125PA

9 Brandon Valenzuela 69

C · R 65-73

.314 🧬 .337 4PA

4.7

5.0

LAA

—

WIN PROB

45% — 55%

O/U 9.7

ML CIN ML C:5 V:1

CIN

—

George Klassen

Untyped

RHP

Brandon Williamson

Boomerang

LHP

wOBA LAA .32

CIN .319 EVEN

TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)

T2_Core (0.95×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = LAA 4.7 — CIN 5.0

vs T4_Fringevs T2_Core

4:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

LAA LINEUP

1 Zach Neto 56

SS · R 52-60

.344 🧬 .295 50PA

2 Mike Trout 88

CF · R 84-92

.419 🧬 .394 50PA

3 Jo Adell 75

RF · R 71-79

.319 🧬 .357 46PA

4 Jorge Soler 76

DH · R 72-80

.348 🧬 .36 22PA

5 Nolan Schanuel 57

1B · R 53-61

.333 🧬 .298 46PA

6 Vaughn Grissom 59

2B · R 55-63

.28 🧬 .31 21PA

7 Logan O'Hoppe 61

C · R 57-65

.298 🧬 .315 28PA

8 Yoán Moncada 57

3B · R 53-61

.337 🧬 .301 17PA

9 Bryce Teodosio 47

LF · R 43-51

.236 🧬 .25 17PA

CIN LINEUP

1 TJ Friedl 69

CF · R 65-73

.333 🧬 .34 38PA

2 Spencer Steer 46

LF · R 42-50

.331 🧬 .244 41PA

3 Elly De La Cruz 66

SS · R 62-70

.347 🧬 .33 36PA

4 Sal Stewart 87

2B · R 83-91

.444 🧬 .393 16PA

5 Eugenio Suárez 87

DH · R 83-91

.35 🧬 .391 32PA

6 Nathaniel Lowe 67

1B · R 63-71

.338 🧬 .332 23PA

7 Tyler Stephenson 63

C · R 59-67

.339 🧬 .32 24PA

8 Noelvi Marte 46

RF · R 42-50

.309 🧬 .247 21PA

9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 52

3B · R 48-56

.294 🧬 .278 31PA

5.0

6.5

ATH

—

WIN PROB

40% — 60%

O/U 11.5

ML NYM ML C:8 V:5

NYM

—

ML Edge: NYM +1.5 projected runs

Jacob Lopez

Cutman

LHP

Kodai Senga

Knuckleball Wizard

RHP

wOBA ATH .353

NYM .322 ATH +.031

TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)

T1_Apex (0.87×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = ATH 5.0 — NYM 6.5

vs T4_Fringevs T1_Apex

4:10 PM ET · Citi Field

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

ATH LINEUP

1 Lawrence Butler 83

RF · R 79-87

.321 🧬 .38 129PA

2 Nick Kurtz 89

1B · R 85-93

.407 🧬 .399 83PA

3 Shea Langeliers 55

C · R 51-59

.344 🧬 .29 95PA

4 Tyler Soderstrom 82

LF · R 78-86

.339 🧬 .377 121PA

5 Jacob Wilson 97

SS · R 93-99

.343 🧬 .435 108PA

6 Jeff McNeil 78

2B · R 74-82

.344 🧬 .365 108PA

7 Max Muncy 62

3B · R 58-66

.309 🧬 .316 51PA

8 Carlos Cortes 65

DH · R 61-69

.346 🧬 .326 21PA

9 Denzel Clarke 53

CF · R 49-57

.258 🧬 .285 37PA

NYM LINEUP

1 Francisco Lindor 91

SS · R 87-95

.36 🧬 .409 69PA

2 Luis Robert Jr. 95

CF · R 91-99

.339 🧬 .426 18PA

3 Jorge Polanco 47

DH · R 43-51

.342 🧬 .254 29PA

4 Bo Bichette 61

3B · R 57-65

.351 🧬 .314 38PA

5 Mark Vientos 84

1B · R 80-88

.325 🧬 .385 41PA

6 Francisco Alvarez 83

C · R 79-87

.339 🧬 .38 28PA

7 Carson Benge 42

LF · R 40-46

.205 🧬 .219 6PA

8 Marcus Semien 54

2B · R 50-58

.334 🧬 .288 41PA

9 Tyrone Taylor 43

RF · R 40-47

.302 🧬 .222 38PA

4.3

3.9

CWS

—

WIN PROB

49% — 51%

O/U 8.2

ML KC ML C:1 V:1

—

Erick Fedde

Yakker

RHP

Michael Wacha

Kitchen Sink

RHP

wOBA CWS .264

KC .301 KC +.037

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T1_Apex (0.87×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = CWS 4.3 — KC 3.9

vs T1_Apexvs T1_Apex

4:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

CWS LINEUP

1 Chase Meidroth 60

2B · R 56-64

.306 🧬 .313 8PA

2 Munetaka Murakami 56

1B · R 52-60

.329 🧬 .294 8PA

3 Andrew Benintendi 56

LF · R 52-60

.333 🧬 .295 30PA

4 Colson Montgomery 82

SS · R 78-86

.456 🧬 .376 13PA

5 Lenyn Sosa 54

DH · R 50-58

.302 🧬 .29 12PA

6 Dustin Harris 65

RF · R 61-69

.334 🧬 .328 1PA

7 Tristan Peters 43

CF · R 40-47

.218 🧬 .223 7PA

8 Tanner Murray 40

3B · R 40-44

.0 🧬 .0 NEW

9 Reese McGuire 48

C · R 44-52

.296 🧬 .257 8PA

KC LINEUP

1 Maikel Garcia 60

3B · R 56-64

.328 🧬 .312 19PA

2 Bobby Witt Jr. 58

SS · R 54-62

.374 🧬 .305 22PA

3 Vinnie Pasquantino 73

1B · R 69-77

.338 🧬 .351 20PA

4 Salvador Perez 56

C · R 52-60

.332 🧬 .294 20PA

5 Carter Jensen 79

DH · R 75-83

.396 🧬 .37 4PA

6 Jonathan India 67

2B · R 63-71

.33 🧬 .332 18PA

7 Jac Caglianone 51

RF · R 47-55

.247 🧬 .275 9PA

8 Michael Massey 47

LF · R 43-51

.293 🧬 .252 15PA

9 Kyle Isbel 42

CF · R 40-46

.311 🧬 .219 16PA

6.0

4.3

NYY

—

WIN PROB

55% — 45%

O/U 10.3

ML NYY ML C:5 V:5

—

ML Edge: NYY +1.7 projected runs

Max Fried

Boomerang

LHP

Nick Martinez

Kitchen Sink

RHP

wOBA NYY .392

TB .307 NYY +.085

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T1_Apex (0.87×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = NYY 6.0 — TB 4.3

vs T1_Apexvs T1_Apex

6:10 PM ET · Tropicana Field

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

NYY LINEUP

1 Trent Grisham 88

CF · R 84-92

.339 🧬 .395 68PA

2 Aaron Judge 99

RF · R 95-99

.456 🧬 .499 101PA

3 Cody Bellinger 85

LF · R 81-89

.358 🧬 .386 95PA

4 Ben Rice 96

1B · R 92-99

.367 🧬 .432 84PA

5 Giancarlo Stanton 67

DH · R 63-71

.372 🧬 .331 43PA

6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 99

2B · R 95-99

.339 🧬 .458 77PA

7 Austin Wells 63

C · R 59-67

.308 🧬 .32 49PA

8 José Caballero 71

SS · R 67-75

.303 🧬 .344 50PA

9 Ryan McMahon 77

3B · R 73-81

.322 🧬 .364 90PA

TB LINEUP

1 Yandy Díaz 80

DH · R 76-84

.376 🧬 .371 42PA

2 Ryan Vilade 41

LF · R 40-45

.201 🧬 .211 2PA

3 Jonathan Aranda 68

1B · R 64-72

.371 🧬 .335 34PA

4 Junior Caminero 72

3B · R 68-76

.358 🧬 .348 50PA

5 Ben Williamson 54

2B · R 50-58

.284 🧬 .289 23PA

6 Jonny DeLuca 63

RF · R 59-67

.299 🧬 .321 9PA

7 Cedric Mullins 84

CF · R 80-88

.32 🧬 .384 25PA

8 Nick Fortes 49

C · R 45-53

.294 🧬 .264 27PA

9 Taylor Walls 46

SS · R 42-50

.275 🧬 .243 17PA

4.2

4.1

WSH

—

WIN PROB

48% — 52%

O/U 8.3

ML MIL ML C:2 V:0

MIL

—

Foster Griffin

Untyped

LHP

Kyle Harrison

Boomerang

LHP

wOBA WSH .32

MIL .331 MIL +.011

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T1_Apex (0.87×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = WSH 4.2 — MIL 4.1

vs T1_Apexvs T1_Apex

7:10 PM ET · American Family Field

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

WSH LINEUP

1 James Wood 90

DH · L 86-94

.364 🧬 .403 75PA

2 Curtis Mead 83

1B · R 79-87

.293 🧬 .381 60PA

3 Brady House 46

3B · R 42-50

.276 🧬 .245 23PA

4 Daylen Lile 68

LF · L 64-72

.354 🧬 .336 35PA

5 Joey Wiemer 55

RF · R 51-59

.328 🧬 .294 17PA

6 CJ Abrams 63

SS · L 59-67

.332 🧬 .32 68PA

7 Jacob Young 51

CF · R 47-55

.301 🧬 .275 34PA

8 Keibert Ruiz 59

C · S 55-63

.29 🧬 .308 16PA

MIL LINEUP

1 Brice Turang 85

2B · L 81-89

.335 🧬 .386 18PA

2 William Contreras 87

C · R 83-91

.361 🧬 .391 14PA

3 Christian Yelich 58

DH · L 54-62

.382 🧬 .304 30PA

4 Gary Sanchez 95

1B · R 91-99

.425 🧬 .425 NEW

5 Sal Frelick 46

RF · L 42-50

.332 🧬 .248 20PA

6 Luis Rengifo 74

3B · S 70-78

.327 🧬 .354 9PA

7 Joey Ortiz 68

SS · R 64-72

.294 🧬 .334 12PA

8 Brandon Lockridge 46

LF · R 42-50

.27 🧬 .248 5PA

9 Blake Perkins 55

CF · S 51-59

.295 🧬 .292 6PA

4.8

—

WIN PROB

47% — 53%

O/U 9.6

ML BAL ML C:3 V:0

BAL

—

Logan Webb

Yakker

RHP

Chris Bassitt

Undertow

RHP

wOBA SF .314

BAL .325 BAL +.011

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T4_Fringe (1.10×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = SF 4.8 — BAL 4.8

vs T1_Apexvs T4_Fringe

7:15 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

SF LINEUP

1 Willy Adames 49

SS · R 45-53

.34 🧬 .269 36PA

2 Luis Arraez 40

2B · R 40-44

.342 🧬 .204 43PA

3 Matt Chapman 91

3B · R 87-95

.35 🧬 .406 33PA

4 Rafael Devers 99

1B · R 95-99

.375 🧬 .509 43PA

5 Casey Schmitt 48

DH · R 44-52

.307 🧬 .263 18PA

6 Jung Hoo Lee 56

RF · R 52-60

.317 🧬 .296 33PA

7 Heliot Ramos 52

LF · R 48-56

.324 🧬 .28 32PA

8 Patrick Bailey 56

C · R 52-60

.279 🧬 .296 28PA

9 Harrison Bader 58

CF · R 54-62

.318 🧬 .305 36PA

BAL LINEUP

1 Taylor Ward 59

? · R 55-63

.347 🧬 .307 50PA

2 Gunnar Henderson 96

? · R 92-99

.367 🧬 .433 43PA

3 Peter Alonso 50

? · R 46-54

.367 🧬 .271 38PA

4 Adley Rutschman 91

? · R 87-95

.333 🧬 .406 31PA

5 Samuel Basallo 45

? · R 41-49

.244 🧬 .239 13PA

6 Tyler O'Neill 76

? · R 72-80

.344 🧬 .359 18PA

7 Colton Cowser 47

? · R 43-51

.303 🧬 .249 22PA

8 Coby Mayo 52

? · R 48-56

.282 🧬 .279 22PA

9 Blaze Alexander 84

? · R 80-88

.316 🧬 .384 21PA

5.2

4.9

BOS

—

WIN PROB

48% — 52%

O/U 10.1

ML STL ML C:2 V:1

STL

—

Ranger Suarez

Cutman

LHP

Kyle Leahy

Yakker

RHP

wOBA BOS .347

STL .318 BOS +.029

TIER T2_Core (0.95×)

T3_Standard (1.00×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = BOS 5.2 — STL 4.9

vs T2_Corevs T3_Standard

7:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

BOS LINEUP

1 Roman Anthony 82

? · R 78-86

.362 🧬 .378 94PA

2 Trevor Story 83

? · R 79-87

.346 🧬 .38 230PA

3 Jarren Duran 77

? · R 73-81

.347 🧬 .364 219PA

4 Willson Contreras 66

? · R 62-70

.363 🧬 .328 166PA

5 Wilyer Abreu 87

? · R 83-91

.356 🧬 .394 169PA

6 Caleb Durbin 56

? · R 52-60

.313 🧬 .296 171PA

7 Marcelo Mayer 62

? · R 58-66

.293 🧬 .317 45PA

8 Carlos Narvaez 62

? · R 58-66

.309 🧬 .318 148PA

9 Ceddanne Rafaela 72

? · R 68-76

.316 🧬 .349 188PA

STL LINEUP

1 JJ Wetherholt 63

2B · R 59-67

.313 🧬 .321 7PA

2 Ivan Herrera 98

DH · R 94-99

.369 🧬 .441 45PA

3 Jordan Walker 99

RF · R 95-99

.311 🧬 .461 39PA

4 Nolan Gorman 46

3B · R 42-50

.31 🧬 .249 36PA

5 Ramon Urias 53

1B · R 49-57

.327 🧬 .284 32PA

6 Jose Fermin 48

LF · R 44-52

.297 🧬 .261 8PA

7 Thomas Saggese 48

SS · R 44-52

.288 🧬 .256 16PA

8 Pedro Pages 43

C · R 40-47

.292 🧬 .228 43PA

9 Victor Scott 78

CF · R 74-82

.27 🧬 .365 53PA

3.4

5.6

CLE

—

WIN PROB

35% — 65%

O/U 9.0

ML ATL ML C:10 V:6

ATL

—

ML Edge: ATL +2.2 projected runs

Parker Messick

Uncle Charlie

LHP

Martín Pérez

Cutman

LHP

wOBA CLE .288

ATL .34 ATL +.052

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T2_Core (0.95×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = CLE 3.4 — ATL 5.6

vs T1_Apexvs T2_Core

7:15 PM ET · Truist Park

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

CLE LINEUP

1 Steven Kwan 45

? · R 41-49

.33 🧬 .236 79PA

2 Angel Martinez 67

? · R 63-71

.296 🧬 .332 48PA

3 Jose Ramirez 93

? · R 89-97

.377 🧬 .417 63PA

4 David Fry 47

? · R 43-51

.326 🧬 .251 35PA

5 Rhys Hoskins 47

? · R 43-51

.354 🧬 .252 36PA

6 Chase DeLauter 91

? · R 87-95

.407 🧬 .408 2PA

7 Gabriel Arias 40

? · R 40-44

.287 🧬 .2 37PA

8 Austin Hedges 43

? · R 40-47

.266 🧬 .224 48PA

9 Brayan Rocchio 49

? · R 45-53

.29 🧬 .269 34PA

ATL LINEUP

1 Ronald Acuna 53

RF · R 49-57

.396 🧬 .286 34PA

2 Drake Baldwin 93

DH · R 89-97

.37 🧬 .419 37PA

3 Ozzie Albies 93

2B · R 89-97

.334 🧬 .416 52PA

4 Matt Olson 86

1B · R 82-90

.376 🧬 .389 55PA

5 Austin Riley 64

3B · R 60-68

.351 🧬 .323 29PA

6 Mauricio Dubon 70

CF · R 66-74

.309 🧬 .341 40PA

7 Mike Yastrzemski 43

LF · R 40-47

.337 🧬 .222 25PA

8 Jonah Heim 86

C · R 82-90

.289 🧬 .39 30PA

9 Jorge Mateo 51

SS · R 47-55

.283 🧬 .275 8PA

4.6

5.2

COL

—

WIN PROB

44% — 56%

O/U 9.8

ML SD ML C:6 V:2

—

Ryan Feltner

Yakker

RHP

Germán Márquez

Ghost

RHP

wOBA COL .314

SD .343 SD +.029

TIER T2_Core (0.95×)

T2_Core (0.95×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = COL 4.6 — SD 5.2

vs T2_Corevs T2_Core

8:40 PM ET · Petco Park

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

COL LINEUP

1 Jake McCarthy 40

? · R 40-44

.313 🧬 .113 60PA

2 Hunter Goodman 81

? · R 77-85

.35 🧬 .376 144PA

3 Willi Castro 72

? · R 68-76

.315 🧬 .349 131PA

4 Ezequiel Tovar 45

? · R 41-49

.32 🧬 .24 105PA

5 T.J. Rumfield 89

? · R 85-93

.376 🧬 .398 11PA

6 Jordan Beck 60

? · R 56-64

.311 🧬 .311 145PA

7 Brenton Doyle 44

? · R 40-48

.303 🧬 .234 121PA

8 Edouard Julien 90

? · R 86-94

.311 🧬 .404 50PA

9 Kyle Karros 89

? · R 85-93

.272 🧬 .4 34PA

SD LINEUP

1 Jake Cronenworth 79

? · R 75-83

.334 🧬 .367 104PA

2 Fernando Tatis Jr 64

? · R 60-68

.369 🧬 .324 159PA

3 Manny Machado 81

? · R 77-85

.364 🧬 .374 147PA

4 Jackson Merrill 91

? · R 87-95

.34 🧬 .409 101PA

5 Xander Bogaerts 73

? · R 69-77

.353 🧬 .35 115PA

6 Gavin Sheets 67

? · R 63-71

.317 🧬 .333 136PA

7 Ramon Laureano 70

? · R 66-74

.348 🧬 .34 107PA

8 Nick Castellanos 72

? · R 68-76

.346 🧬 .348 122PA

9 Freddy Fermin 46

? · R 42-50

.305 🧬 .244 66PA

5.3

5.4

TEX

—

WIN PROB

47% — 53%

O/U 10.7

ML LAD ML C:3 V:0

LAD

—

Jack Leiter

Triple Threat

RHP

Emmet Sheehan

Triple Threat

RHP

wOBA TEX .316

LAD .362 LAD +.046

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T2_Core (0.95×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = TEX 5.3 — LAD 5.4

vs T1_Apexvs T2_Core

9:10 PM ET · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

TEX LINEUP

1 Brandon Nimmo 75

? · R 71-79

.355 🧬 .355 115PA

2 Wyatt Langford 49

? · R 45-53

.329 🧬 .27 99PA

3 Corey Seager 71

? · R 67-75

.383 🧬 .344 68PA

4 Jake Burger 47

? · R 43-51

.327 🧬 .249 68PA

5 Joc Pederson 62

? · R 58-66

.349 🧬 .317 56PA

6 Evan Carter 70

? · R 66-74

.331 🧬 .341 55PA

7 Danny Jansen 89

? · R 85-93

.323 🧬 .398 63PA

8 Josh Smith 51

? · R 47-55

.319 🧬 .278 114PA

9 Ezequiel Duran 54

? · R 50-58

.29 🧬 .289 28PA

LAD LINEUP

1 Shohei (H) Ohtani 99

? · R 95-99

.422 🧬 .505 160PA

2 Kyle Tucker 46

? · R 42-50

.38 🧬 .248 141PA

3 Freddie Freeman 97

? · R 93-99

.411 🧬 .437 149PA

4 Will Smith 86

? · R 82-90

.364 🧬 .391 115PA

5 Max Muncy 96

? · R 92-99

.37 🧬 .434 100PA

6 Teoscar Hernandez 54

? · R 50-58

.348 🧬 .287 140PA

7 Andy Pages 95

? · R 91-99

.35 🧬 .429 161PA

8 Alex Freeland 45

? · R 41-49

.296 🧬 .239 32PA

9 Miguel Rojas 53

? · R 49-57

.318 🧬 .286 67PA

4.2

5.0

HOU

—

WIN PROB

43% — 57%

O/U 9.2

ML SEA ML C:6 V:3

SEA

—

Lance McCullers Jr.

Ghost

RHP

Luis Castillo

Kitchen Sink

RHP

wOBA HOU .33

SEA .347 SEA +.017

TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)

T1_Apex (0.87×)

MODEL BaseRuns(wOBA×Tier) + Park = HOU 4.2 — SEA 5.0

vs T1_Apexvs T1_Apex

9:40 PM ET · T-Mobile Park

KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW

LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼

HOU LINEUP

1 Jeremy Pena 66

? · R 62-70

.342 🧬 .329 100PA

2 Yordan Alvarez 87

? · R 83-91

.415 🧬 .391 42PA

3 Jose Altuve 61

? · R 57-65

.381 🧬 .315 233PA

4 Isaac Paredes 62

? · R 58-66

.348 🧬 .319 85PA

5 Christian Walker 51

? · R 47-55

.342 🧬 .276 109PA

6 Carlos Correa 72

? · R 68-76

.361 🧬 .346 191PA

7 Cam Smith 56

? · R 52-60

.315 🧬 .295 80PA

8 Joey Loperfido 74

? · R 70-78

.322 🧬 .355 23PA

9 Christian Vazquez 70

? · R 66-74

.299 🧬 .342 74PA

SEA LINEUP

1 Luke Raley 53

? · R 49-57

.334 🧬 .284 71PA

2 Cal Raleigh 91

? · R 87-95

.356 🧬 .409 126PA

3 Julio Rodriguez 93

? · R 89-97

.35 🧬 .419 124PA

4 Josh Naylor 67

? · R 63-71

.342 🧬 .332 115PA

5 Randy Arozarena 87

? · R 83-91

.347 🧬 .392 133PA

6 Dominic Canzone 93

? · R 89-97

.338 🧬 .416 60PA

7 J.P. Crawford 48

? · R 44-52

.328 🧬 .26 110PA

8 Cole Young 54

? · R 50-58

.302 🧬 .288 64PA

9 Leonardo Rivas 65

? · R 61-69

.309 🧬 .326 20PA

Generated 2026-04-11 15:36 ET · Powered by ATLAS Pitcher DNA

DAILY DASHBOARD

APR 11 · 15 games with lineups

💣 HR WATCH

Most likely to go yard

🔥 Jazz Chisholm Jr.

NYY vs Nick Martinez (TB) · MS 99

13.3%

HR Rate

🔥 Andy Pages

LAD vs Jack Leiter (TEX) · MS 95

11.4%

HR Rate

🔥 Daulton Varsho

TOR vs Joe Ryan (MIN) · MS 84

11.1%

HR Rate

🔥 Mark Vientos

NYM vs Jacob Lopez (ATH) · MS 84

10.8%

HR Rate

🔥 Danny Jansen

TEX vs Emmet Sheehan (LAD) · MS 89

10.3%

HR Rate

🔥 Byron Buxton

MIN vs Eric Lauer (TOR) · MS 76

9.6%

HR Rate

🔥 Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs Brandon Pfaadt (AZ) · MS 95

9.3%

HR Rate

🔥 Shohei (H) Ohtani

LAD vs Jack Leiter (TEX) · MS 99

9.3%

HR Rate

🔥 Ivan Herrera

STL vs Ranger Suarez (BOS) · MS 98

8.6%

HR Rate

🔥 Jordan Walker

STL vs Ranger Suarez (BOS) · MS 99

8.4%

HR Rate

🔥 Joc Pederson

TEX vs Emmet Sheehan (LAD) · MS 62

8.3%

HR Rate

🔥 Cal Raleigh

SEA vs Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) · MS 91

8.0%

HR Rate

🔥 Giancarlo Stanton

NYY vs Nick Martinez (TB) · MS 67

8.0%

HR Rate

🔥 Curtis Mead

WSH vs Kyle Harrison (MIL) · MS 83

7.9%

HR Rate

🔥 Kerry Carpenter

DET vs Janson Junk (MIA) · MS 90

7.8%

HR Rate

🔥 James Wood

WSH vs Kyle Harrison (MIL) · MS 90

7.8%

HR Rate

🔥 Riley Greene

DET vs Janson Junk (MIA) · MS 77

7.3%

HR Rate

🔥 Brooks Lee

MIN vs Eric Lauer (TOR) · MS 71

7.1%

HR Rate

🔥 Lawrence Butler

ATH vs Kodai Senga (NYM) · MS 83

7.1%

HR Rate

🔥 Cody Bellinger

NYY vs Nick Martinez (TB) · MS 85

7.1%

HR Rate

🔥 Wilyer Abreu

BOS vs Kyle Leahy (STL) · MS 87

6.9%

HR Rate

🔥 Owen Caissie

MIA vs Casey Mize (DET) · MS 92

6.8%

HR Rate

🔥 Julio Rodriguez

SEA vs Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) · MS 93

6.8%

HR Rate

🔥 Ketel Marte

AZ vs Taijuan Walker (PHI) · MS 99

6.7%

HR Rate

🔥 Evan Carter

TEX vs Emmet Sheehan (LAD) · MS 70

6.7%

HR Rate

🔥 HEATING UP

Active hitting streaks + archetype edge

🔥🔥 Oneil Cruz

10G streak · L7 .385 · PIT vs Edward Cabrera (CHC) · wOBA +.01

🔥 Jordan Walker

6G streak · L7 .345 · STL vs Ranger Suarez (BOS) · wOBA +.15

🔥 Matt Chapman

6G streak · L7 .407 · SF vs Chris Bassitt (BAL) · wOBA +.056

🔥 Edouard Julien

5G streak · L7 .4 · COL vs Germán Márquez (SD) · wOBA +.093

🔥🔥 Max Muncy

7G streak · L7 .414 · ATH vs Kodai Senga (NYM) · wOBA +.007

🔥 Mauricio Dubon

6G streak · L7 .286 · ATL vs Parker Messick (CLE) · wOBA +.032

🔥 William Contreras

6G streak · L7 .296 · MIL vs Foster Griffin (WSH) · wOBA +.03

🔥 Jorge Soler

6G streak · L7 .348 · LAA vs Brandon Williamson (CIN) · wOBA +.012

🔥 Drake Baldwin

5G streak · L7 .367 · ATL vs Parker Messick (CLE) · wOBA +.049

🔥 Nico Hoerner

6G streak · L7 .375 · CHC vs Braxton Ashcraft (PIT)

🔥 Zach Neto

6G streak · L7 .258 · LAA vs Brandon Williamson (CIN)

🔥 James Wood

5G streak · L7 .414 · WSH vs Kyle Harrison (MIL) · wOBA +.039

🔥 Gunnar Henderson

4G streak · L7 .321 · BAL vs Logan Webb (SF) · wOBA +.066

🟢 Rafael Devers

3G streak · L7 .179 · SF vs Chris Bassitt (BAL) · wOBA +.134

🔥 Bryce Harper

5G streak · L7 .333 · PHI vs Brandon Pfaadt (AZ)

🎯 TODAY'S EDGES

Best projected spreads

ATL ML 10

CLE @ ATL

+2.2

NYM ML 8

ATH @ NYM

+1.5

SEA ML 6

HOU @ SEA

+0.8

DET ML 6

MIA @ DET

+0.6

SD ML 6

COL @ SD

+0.6

NYY ML 5

NYY @ TB

+1.7

CIN ML 5

LAA @ CIN

+0.3

PHI ML 4

AZ @ PHI

+0.2

TOR ML 4

MIN @ TOR

+0.1

LAD ML 3

TEX @ LAD

+0.1

BAL ML 3

SF @ BAL

+0.0

STL ML 2

BOS @ STL

+0.3

HOW MLB SIM WORKS

MLB SIM uses the Pitcher DNA system (Gaussian Mixture Model clustering) to classify every pitcher into one of 26 archetypes (15 RHP + 11 LHP) based on their pitch mix, velocity, movement, and approach. Every batter has historical performance data against each archetype — because baseball is fundamentally a 1v1 sport, the specific pitcher a batter faces defines their expected performance.

When lineups are released, MLB SIM projects every batter's performance based on how they've historically hit against the opposing pitcher's archetype. This produces per-game Matchup Scores that change daily depending on the starter.

MATCHUP SCORE (MS) — 40 TO 99

MS is a context-dependent metric that changes each game based on the specific pitcher archetype a batter faces.

85-99	Elite Matchup — historically dominant vs this archetype
70-84	Favorable — above-average performance expected
55-69	Neutral — roughly league-average
40-54	Tough Matchup — historically struggles vs this archetype

MS FORMULA (wOBA-based): wOBA >= .400 → MS 90-99 wOBA .370-.399 → MS 80-89 wOBA .340-.369 → MS 70-79 wOBA .310-.339 → MS 60-69 wOBA .270-.309 → MS 50-59 wOBA < .270 → MS 40-49 H2H BONUS: +0-5 pts when PA >= 10 vs specific pitcher (not just archetype)

PROJECTION METHODOLOGY

Team runs are projected using the BaseRuns formula, a context-neutral run estimator:

A = H + BB - HR B = 1.02 × (1.4×TB - 0.6×H + 0.1×BB) C = PA - H - BB D = HR Runs = A×B / (B+C) + D Spread = Home Runs − Away Runs O/U Total = Home Runs + Away Runs

Batter projections use archetype-specific wOBA with head-to-head adjustments when sufficient plate appearance history exists.

BULLPEN PREDICTIONS

MLB SIM predicts bullpen deployment using three layers:

Layer 1 — Availability: Tracks reliever workload history to determine who CAN pitch.

Layer 2 — Usage Order: Estimates starter expected innings, then ranks available relievers by role hierarchy.

Layer 3 — Matchup Integration: For each predicted reliever, computes MS against the lineup slots they'll likely face.