by Jack Morello
TRACKED
176-132
ROI
-0.7%
FILTER
C:8+
PRICE GATES
Time
Run Diff
JUN 17 SLATE 15 GAMES
7.2
6.0
NYM
33-41
-137
WIN PROB
56.8% — 43.2%
O/U 13.2
NO PLAY
CIN
35-38
+118
Nolan McLean
Heater-Heavy
RHP
VS
Nick Lodolo
Uncle Charlie
LHP
wOBA NYM .303
CIN .302 EVEN
TIER T2_Core (0.95×)
T4_Fringe (1.10×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.05) → NYM 7.2 — CIN 6.0 | Pyth WP
vs T2_Corevs T4_Fringe
12:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
NYM LINEUP
1 Carson Benge
RF 19PA +0.67 R MOMO65 MOMI64
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.327
2 Bo Bichette
3B 54PA +0.50 R MOMO39 MOMI67
WOBA.341 🧬 ARCH.216
3 Juan Soto
LF 85PA +0.54 R MOMO44 MOMI65
WOBA.416 🧬 ARCH.245
4 Marcus Semien
2B 53PA +1.06 R MOMO76 MOMI85
WOBA.328 🧬 ARCH.363
5 Mark Vientos
1B 55PA +0.54 R MOMO47 MOMI59
WOBA.308 🧬 ARCH.268
6 Francisco Alvarez
C 34PA +0.86 R MOMO83 MOMI99
WOBA.327 🧬 ARCH.38
7 A.J. Ewing
CF 15PA +0.62 R MOMO58 MOMI57
WOBA.3 🧬 ARCH.306
8 Luis Torrens
C 29PA +0.61 R MOMO58 MOMI57
WOBA.283 🧬 ARCH.308
9 Zack Short
SS 20PA +0.49 R MOMO62 MOMI62
WOBA.325 🧬 ARCH.317
CIN LINEUP
1 Edwin Arroyo
2B 13PA +0.48 R MOMO53 MOMI52
WOBA.243 🧬 ARCH.279
2 JJ Bleday
LF 130PA +1.12 R MOMO74 MOMI75
WOBA.334 🧬 ARCH.356
3 Sal Stewart
1B 125PA +0.79 R MOMO47 MOMI60
WOBA.354 🧬 ARCH.266
4 Nathaniel Lowe
DH 167PA +1.03 R MOMO77 MOMI80
WOBA.342 🧬 ARCH.364
5 Eugenio Suárez
DH 162PA +0.83 R MOMO67 MOMI69
WOBA.346 🧬 ARCH.335
6 Spencer Steer
LF 200PA +0.59 R MOMO49 MOMI49
WOBA.337 🧬 ARCH.271
7 Noelvi Marte
RF 86PA +0.51 R MOMO58 MOMI66
WOBA.311 🧬 ARCH.308
8 Jose Trevino
C 57PA +0.39 R MOMO55 MOMI58
WOBA.284 🧬 ARCH.294
9 Matt McLain
2B 196PA +0.50 R MOMO44 MOMI44
WOBA.309 🧬 ARCH.247
7.2
6.8
KC
30-45
+114
WIN PROB
51.1% — 48.9%
O/U 14.0
NO PLAY
WSH
39-36
-135
Luinder Avila
Kitchen Sink
RHP
VS
Zack Littell
Split Demon
RHP
wOBA KC .299
WSH .322 WSH +.023
TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)
T4_Fringe (1.10×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.00) → KC 7.2 — WSH 6.8 | Pyth WP
vs T4_Fringevs T4_Fringe
1:05 PM ET · Nationals Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
KC LINEUP
1 Carter Jensen
C 67PA +1.38 R MOMO75 MOMI99
WOBA.311 🧬 ARCH.36
2 Bobby Witt Jr.
SS 159PA +0.98 R MOMO68 MOMI87
WOBA.373 🧬 ARCH.338
3 Jac Caglianone
RF 75PA +0.85 R MOMO54 MOMI55
WOBA.299 🧬 ARCH.289
4 Lane Thomas
CF 30PA +0.62 R MOMO57 MOMI66
WOBA.318 🧬 ARCH.302
5 Michael Massey
2B 86PA +0.75 R MOMO54 MOMI57
WOBA.296 🧬 ARCH.288
6 Salvador Perez
C 147PA +0.66 R MOMO53 MOMI57
WOBA.321 🧬 ARCH.288
7 John Rave
RF 34PA +0.34 R MOMO50 MOMI59
WOBA.285 🧬 ARCH.27
8 Nick Loftin
2B 26PA +0.22 R MOMO44 MOMI50
WOBA.301 🧬 ARCH.248
9 Isaac Collins
LF 92PA +0.62 R MOMO58 MOMI63
WOBA.328 🧬 ARCH.307
WSH LINEUP
1 James Wood
RF 275PA +0.97 R MOMO82 MOMI94
WOBA.381 🧬 ARCH.378
2 Luis García Jr.
1B 243PA +0.83 R MOMO74 MOMI80
WOBA.317 🧬 ARCH.356
3 Curtis Mead
1B 97PA +0.77 R MOMO66 MOMI66
WOBA.315 🧬 ARCH.333
4 CJ Abrams
SS 277PA +0.77 R MOMO80 MOMI90
WOBA.339 🧬 ARCH.373
5 Dylan Crews
RF 128PA +0.76 R MOMO77 MOMI84
WOBA.279 🧬 ARCH.364
6 Daylen Lile
LF 196PA +0.83 R MOMO84 MOMI87
WOBA.342 🧬 ARCH.385
7 Keibert Ruiz
C 117PA +0.28 R MOMO43 MOMI60
WOBA.302 🧬 ARCH.245
8 José Tena
DH 100PA +0.45 R MOMO51 MOMI52
WOBA.292 🧬 ARCH.277
9 Nasim Nuñez
2B 66PA +0.28 R MOMO35 MOMI59
WOBA.299 🧬 ARCH.19
7.7
7.5
MIA
37-38
+102
WIN PROB
49.7% — 50.3%
O/U 15.2
NO PLAY
PHI
40-34
-122
Sandy Alcantara
Undertow
RHP
VS
Andrew Painter
Kitchen Sink
RHP
wOBA MIA .322
PHI .341 PHI +.019
TIER T3_Standard (1.00×)
T4_Fringe (1.10×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.02) → MIA 7.7 — PHI 7.5 | Pyth WP
vs T3_Standardvs T4_Fringe
1:05 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
MIA LINEUP
1 Liam Hicks
C 165PA +1.30 R MOMO90 MOMI99
WOBA.345 🧬 ARCH.402
2 Otto Lopez
SS 203PA +0.79 R MOMO68 MOMI76
WOBA.338 🧬 ARCH.339
3 Kyle Stowers
LF 160PA +1.09 R MOMO78 MOMI84
WOBA.338 🧬 ARCH.368
4 Xavier Edwards
2B 205PA +0.85 R MOMO72 MOMI71
WOBA.341 🧬 ARCH.348
5 Javier Sanoja
3B 113PA +0.51 R MOMO55 MOMI55
WOBA.303 🧬 ARCH.296
6 Owen Caissie
RF 61PA +0.74 R MOMO48 MOMI44
WOBA.276 🧬 ARCH.262
7 Jakob Marsee
CF 136PA +0.51 R MOMO47 MOMI58
WOBA.317 🧬 ARCH.263
8 Joe Mack
C 31PA +0.84 R MOMO59 MOMI74
WOBA.287 🧬 ARCH.309
9 Esteury Ruiz
RF 10PA +0.35 R MOMO60 MOMI79
WOBA.348 🧬 ARCH.312
PHI LINEUP
1 Trea Turner
SS 180PA +0.99 R MOMO81 MOMI82
WOBA.353 🧬 ARCH.374
2 Kyle Schwarber
DH 189PA +1.54 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.38 🧬 ARCH.467
3 Bryce Harper
1B 152PA +1.18 R MOMO92 MOMI88
WOBA.396 🧬 ARCH.409
4 Brandon Marsh
LF 155PA +1.00 R MOMO84 MOMI96
WOBA.349 🧬 ARCH.386
5 Alec Bohm
3B 156PA +0.44 R MOMO46 MOMI54
WOBA.327 🧬 ARCH.261
6 Bryson Stott
2B 182PA +0.84 R MOMO73 MOMI88
WOBA.313 🧬 ARCH.352
7 Gabriel Rincones Jr.
RF 0PA +0.23 R MOMO40 MOMI40
WOBA.201 🧬 ARCH.201
8 Justin Crawford
CF 53PA +0.89 R MOMO61 MOMI66
WOBA.28 🧬 ARCH.312
9 Garrett Stubbs
C 11PA +0.35 R MOMO58 MOMI58
WOBA.3 🧬 ARCH.309
6.8
7.4
SF
30-43
+115
WIN PROB
44.6% — 55.4%
O/U 14.2
ML SF ML C:10
ATL
46-26
-138
Adrian Houser
Undertow
RHP
VS
Grant Holmes
Kitchen Sink
RHP
wOBA SF .35
ATL .31 SF +.04
TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)
T3_Standard (1.00×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.03) → SF 6.8 — ATL 7.4 | Pyth WP
vs T4_Fringevs T3_Standard
2:00 PM ET · Truist Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
SF LINEUP
1 Luis Arraez
2B 309PA +0.76 R MOMO70 MOMI84
WOBA.342 🧬 ARCH.342
2 Bryce Eldridge
DH 42PA +0.90 R MOMO62 MOMI90
WOBA.379 🧬 ARCH.319
3 Matt Chapman
3B 230PA +0.71 R MOMO67 MOMI78
WOBA.347 🧬 ARCH.335
4 Rafael Devers
1B 282PA +0.98 R MOMO85 MOMI94
WOBA.366 🧬 ARCH.39
5 Jung Hoo Lee
RF 255PA +0.83 R MOMO84 MOMI99
WOBA.336 🧬 ARCH.384
6 Willy Adames
SS 300PA +0.69 R MOMO66 MOMI61
WOBA.332 🧬 ARCH.332
7 Casey Schmitt
DH 150PA +0.78 R MOMO68 MOMI81
WOBA.32 🧬 ARCH.338
8 Drew Gilbert
CF 80PA +0.69 R MOMO60 MOMI60
WOBA.29 🧬 ARCH.313
9 Daniel Susac
C 17PA +0.89 R MOMO88 MOMI86
WOBA.316 🧬 ARCH.398
ATL LINEUP
1 Drake Baldwin
C 132PA +1.07 R MOMO80 MOMI98
WOBA.375 🧬 ARCH.37
2 Michael Harris II
CF 187PA +0.55 R MOMO50 MOMI69
WOBA.332 🧬 ARCH.275
3 Matt Olson
1B 192PA +1.05 R MOMO78 MOMI99
WOBA.375 🧬 ARCH.369
4 Ozzie Albies
2B 199PA +0.60 R MOMO54 MOMI60
WOBA.334 🧬 ARCH.289
5 Dominic Smith
DH 97PA +0.69 R MOMO49 MOMI47
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.272
6 Mauricio Dubón
SS 114PA +0.49 R MOMO44 MOMI63
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.252
7 Austin Riley
3B 161PA +0.83 R MOMO66 MOMI62
WOBA.339 🧬 ARCH.33
8 Mike Yastrzemski
LF 167PA +0.85 R MOMO77 MOMI77
WOBA.333 🧬 ARCH.365
9 Ha-Seong Kim
SS 39PA +0.31 R MOMO47 MOMI47
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.265
5.7
6.8
DET
30-44
-110
WIN PROB
40.5% — 59.5%
O/U 12.5
NO PLAY
HOU
35-41
-110
Casey Mize
3️⃣ Triple Threat
RHP
VS
Peter Lambert
3️⃣ Triple Threat
RHP
wOBA DET .284
HOU .351 HOU +.067
TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)
T3_Standard (1.00×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(0.99) → DET 5.7 — HOU 6.8 | Pyth WP
vs T1_Apexvs T3_Standard
2:10 PM ET · Daikin Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
DET LINEUP
1 Kevin McGonigle
SS 75PA +0.88 R MOMO53 MOMI66
WOBA.36 🧬 ARCH.287
2 Dillon Dingler
C 150PA +0.92 R MOMO77 MOMI86
WOBA.343 🧬 ARCH.364
3 Riley Greene
LF 218PA +0.69 R MOMO53 MOMI52
WOBA.356 🧬 ARCH.287
4 Spencer Torkelson
1B 218PA +0.94 R MOMO75 MOMI75
WOBA.326 🧬 ARCH.359
5 Kerry Carpenter
RF 176PA +0.83 R MOMO75 MOMI78
WOBA.356 🧬 ARCH.359
6 Colt Keith
3B 221PA +0.75 R MOMO66 MOMI66
WOBA.319 🧬 ARCH.332
7 Matt Vierling
CF 64PA +0.00 R MOMO30 MOMI30
WOBA.304 🧬 ARCH.125
8 Hao-Yu Lee
2B 19PA +0.55 R MOMO52 MOMI63
WOBA.276 🧬 ARCH.28
9 Jake Rogers
C 76PA +0.03 R MOMO33 MOMI33
WOBA.282 🧬 ARCH.159
HOU LINEUP
1 Jeremy Peña
SS 118PA +1.11 R MOMO97 MOMI99
WOBA.342 🧬 ARCH.424
2 Yordan Alvarez
DH 76PA +2.55 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.42 🧬 ARCH.6
3 Christian Walker
1B 157PA +0.72 R MOMO58 MOMI69
WOBA.34 🧬 ARCH.307
4 Isaac Paredes
3B 126PA +0.98 R MOMO81 MOMI85
WOBA.345 🧬 ARCH.376
5 Jose Altuve
2B 146PA +0.43 R MOMO48 MOMI46
WOBA.371 🧬 ARCH.269
6 Cam Smith
RF 124PA +0.58 R MOMO54 MOMI70
WOBA.3 🧬 ARCH.292
7 Joey Loperfido
LF 32PA +0.95 R MOMO98 MOMI93
WOBA.314 🧬 ARCH.43
8 Jake Meyers
CF 79PA +0.24 R MOMO42 MOMI42
WOBA.311 🧬 ARCH.233
9 Christian Vázquez
C 59PA +0.23 R MOMO40 MOMI35
WOBA.292 🧬 ARCH.224
7.3
5.7
SD
38-35
+104
WIN PROB
59.6% — 40.4%
O/U 13.0
ML SD ML C:8
STL
40-32
-122
Bradgley Rodriguez
3️⃣ Triple Threat
RHP
VS
Kyle Leahy
Kitchen Sink
RHP
wOBA SD .32
STL .33 STL +.01
TIER T2_Core (0.95×)
T4_Fringe (1.10×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(0.98) → SD 7.3 — STL 5.7 | Pyth WP
vs T2_Corevs T4_Fringe
2:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
SD LINEUP
1 Fernando Tatis Jr.
RF 167PA +0.83 R MOMO64 MOMI81
WOBA.361 🧬 ARCH.326
2 Samad Taylor
LF 11PA +0.98 R MOMO84 MOMI99
WOBA.341 🧬 ARCH.384
3 Jackson Merrill
CF 117PA +0.86 R MOMO58 MOMI71
WOBA.321 🧬 ARCH.309
4 Manny Machado
3B 149PA +0.85 R MOMO58 MOMI63
WOBA.352 🧬 ARCH.309
5 Gavin Sheets
1B 118PA +0.90 R MOMO68 MOMI74
WOBA.319 🧬 ARCH.339
6 Xander Bogaerts
SS 126PA +0.73 R MOMO59 MOMI59
WOBA.347 🧬 ARCH.31
7 Ty France
1B 81PA +0.63 R MOMO58 MOMI58
WOBA.324 🧬 ARCH.308
8 Will Wagner
DH 20PA +0.47 R MOMO61 MOMI62
WOBA.329 🧬 ARCH.315
9 Rodolfo Durán
C 5PA +0.41 R MOMO52 MOMI55
WOBA.311 🧬 ARCH.28
STL LINEUP
1 JJ Wetherholt
2B 55PA +0.26 R MOMO34 MOMI44
WOBA.339 🧬 ARCH.181
2 Iván Herrera
DH 142PA +0.74 R MOMO76 MOMI76
WOBA.372 🧬 ARCH.362
3 Alec Burleson
1B 166PA +0.91 R MOMO70 MOMI98
WOBA.346 🧬 ARCH.34
4 Jordan Walker
RF 128PA +1.07 R MOMO82 MOMI82
WOBA.33 🧬 ARCH.377
5 Lars Nootbaar
LF 114PA +0.93 R MOMO91 MOMI99
WOBA.331 🧬 ARCH.406
6 Masyn Winn
SS 145PA +0.61 R MOMO58 MOMI70
WOBA.302 🧬 ARCH.307
7 Jimmy Crooks
C 19PA +0.58 R MOMO53 MOMI50
WOBA.247 🧬 ARCH.281
8 Blaze Jordan
1B 4PA +0.76 R MOMO82 MOMI86
WOBA.392 🧬 ARCH.378
9 Nathan Church
LF 49PA +0.84 R MOMO67 MOMI80
WOBA.292 🧬 ARCH.334
5.5
5.5
TB
41-29
+133
WIN PROB
48.5% — 51.5%
O/U 11.0
LAD
47-27
-156
Shane McClanahan
Uncle Charlie
LHP
VS
Shohei Ohtani
Ghost
RHP
wOBA TB .332
LAD .315 TB +.017
TIER T2_Core (0.95×)
T1_Apex (0.87×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(0.97) → TB 5.5 — LAD 5.5 | Pyth WP
vs T2_Corevs T1_Apex
3:10 PM ET · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
TB LINEUP
1 Yandy Díaz
DH 254PA +1.00 R MOMO90 MOMI98
WOBA.374 🧬 ARCH.401
2 Jonathan Aranda
1B 182PA +1.24 R MOMO97 MOMI99
WOBA.367 🧬 ARCH.424
3 Cedric Mullins
CF 202PA +0.47 R MOMO47 MOMI57
WOBA.315 🧬 ARCH.267
4 Junior Caminero
3B 247PA +1.29 R MOMO97 MOMI99
WOBA.366 🧬 ARCH.425
5 Richie Palacios
2B 53PA +0.91 R MOMO76 MOMI79
WOBA.329 🧬 ARCH.362
6 Chandler Simpson
LF 205PA +0.37 R MOMO46 MOMI46
WOBA.291 🧬 ARCH.261
7 Victor Mesa Jr.
RF 25PA +0.92 R MOMO74 MOMI74
WOBA.293 🧬 ARCH.354
8 Hunter Feduccia
C 61PA +0.38 R MOMO47 MOMI50
WOBA.268 🧬 ARCH.26
9 Taylor Walls
SS 116PA +0.28 R MOMO43 MOMI48
WOBA.275 🧬 ARCH.236
LAD LINEUP
1 Tommy Edman
2B 43PA +0.36 R MOMO44 MOMI44
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.248
2 Andy Pages
CF 93PA +0.72 R MOMO58 MOMI63
WOBA.337 🧬 ARCH.306
3 Freddie Freeman
1B 100PA +0.63 R MOMO57 MOMI72
WOBA.406 🧬 ARCH.305
4 Mookie Betts
SS 94PA +0.81 R MOMO71 MOMI81
WOBA.373 🧬 ARCH.346
5 Miguel Rojas
SS 79PA +0.76 R MOMO68 MOMI83
WOBA.317 🧬 ARCH.339
6 Kyle Tucker
RF 100PA +1.13 R MOMO93 MOMI99
WOBA.368 🧬 ARCH.413
7 Alex Call
LF 54PA +0.46 R MOMO55 MOMI57
WOBA.341 🧬 ARCH.294
8 Dalton Rushing
C 26PA +0.58 R MOMO63 MOMI63
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.323
9 Alex Freeland
2B 9PA +0.33 R MOMO46 MOMI41
WOBA.281 🧬 ARCH.258
8.0
7.6
LAA
30-44
+148
WIN PROB
50.8% — 49.2%
O/U 15.6
NO PLAY
AZ
37-36
-177
Sam Aldegheri
Wormburner
LHP
VS
Eduardo Rodriguez
Uncle Charlie
LHP
wOBA LAA .332
AZ .325 LAA +.007
TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)
T3_Standard (1.00×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.03) → LAA 8.0 — AZ 7.6 | Pyth WP
vs T4_Fringevs T3_Standard
3:40 PM ET · Chase Field
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
LAA LINEUP
1 Zach Neto
SS 46PA +1.04 R MOMO70 MOMI75
WOBA.337 🧬 ARCH.341
2 Mike Trout
CF 48PA +1.44 R MOMO83 MOMI99
WOBA.415 🧬 ARCH.38
3 Jo Adell
RF 49PA +1.50 R MOMO92 MOMI99
WOBA.315 🧬 ARCH.407
4 Oswald Peraza
2B 47PA +1.31 R MOMO75 MOMI83
WOBA.279 🧬 ARCH.356
5 Vaughn Grissom
2B 25PA +0.73 R MOMO58 MOMI69
WOBA.304 🧬 ARCH.309
6 Denzer Guzman
3B 4PA +0.18 R MOMO41 MOMI49
WOBA.241 🧬 ARCH.222
7 Jose Siri
LF 9PA +0.86 R MOMO74 MOMI74
WOBA.298 🧬 ARCH.354
8 Logan Porter
C 2PA +0.26 R MOMO56 MOMI57
WOBA.296 🧬 ARCH.298
9 Wade Meckler
LF 5PA +0.50 R MOMO62 MOMI62
WOBA.341 🧬 ARCH.32
AZ LINEUP
1 Ketel Marte
2B 74PA +1.34 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.365 🧬 ARCH.431
2 Geraldo Perdomo
SS 93PA +0.99 R MOMO88 MOMI99
WOBA.347 🧬 ARCH.398
3 Corbin Carroll
RF 91PA +1.19 R MOMO90 MOMI99
WOBA.372 🧬 ARCH.402
4 Gabriel Moreno
C 40PA +0.96 R MOMO74 MOMI97
WOBA.342 🧬 ARCH.355
5 Nolan Arenado
3B 59PA +0.40 R MOMO43 MOMI43
WOBA.363 🧬 ARCH.245
6 Ildemaro Vargas
1B 33PA +0.75 R MOMO62 MOMI62
WOBA.303 🧬 ARCH.32
7 Jordan Lawlar
LF 14PA +0.27 R MOMO46 MOMI50
WOBA.282 🧬 ARCH.26
8 LuJames Groover
3B 0PA +0.09 R MOMO42 MOMI41
WOBA.216 🧬 ARCH.216
9 Tommy Troy
LF 1PA +0.41 R MOMO55 MOMI53
WOBA.3 🧬 ARCH.294
6.3
5.3
TOR
35-38
+103
WIN PROB
56.3% — 43.7%
O/U 11.6
NO PLAY
BOS
29-41
-122
Braydon Fisher
Uncle Charlie
RHP
VS
Jake Bennett
Undertow
LHP
wOBA TOR .318
BOS .328 BOS +.01
TIER T2_Core (0.95×)
T3_Standard (1.00×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.06) → TOR 6.3 — BOS 5.3 | Pyth WP
vs T2_Corevs T3_Standard
6:45 PM ET · Fenway Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
TOR LINEUP
1 George Springer
DH 41PA +1.08 R MOMO90 MOMI99
WOBA.367 🧬 ARCH.401
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B 39PA +1.10 R MOMO97 MOMI93
WOBA.376 🧬 ARCH.427
3 Kazuma Okamoto
3B 20PA +0.92 R MOMO66 MOMI69
WOBA.327 🧬 ARCH.332
4 Alejandro Kirk
C 31PA +0.40 R MOMO49 MOMI55
WOBA.336 🧬 ARCH.272
5 Ernie Clement
2B 58PA +0.75 R MOMO74 MOMI80
WOBA.319 🧬 ARCH.356
6 Jesús Sánchez
RF 35PA +0.04 R MOMO34 MOMI40
WOBA.325 🧬 ARCH.17
7 Davis Schneider
LF 37PA +0.83 R MOMO68 MOMI73
WOBA.316 🧬 ARCH.338
8 Myles Straw
RF 47PA +0.27 R MOMO39 MOMI39
WOBA.299 🧬 ARCH.219
9 Andrés Giménez
SS 44PA +0.78 R MOMO73 MOMI87
WOBA.301 🧬 ARCH.351
BOS LINEUP
1 Mickey Gasper
C 22PA +0.36 R MOMO51 MOMI50
WOBA.266 🧬 ARCH.276
2 Ceddanne Rafaela
CF 142PA +0.61 R MOMO64 MOMI73
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.323
3 Wilyer Abreu
RF 129PA +0.78 R MOMO68 MOMI73
WOBA.338 🧬 ARCH.338
4 Willson Contreras
1B 143PA +0.91 R MOMO90 MOMI93
WOBA.37 🧬 ARCH.4
5 Jarren Duran
LF 166PA +0.63 R MOMO71 MOMI90
WOBA.337 🧬 ARCH.345
6 Masataka Yoshida
DH 70PA +0.63 R MOMO77 MOMI82
WOBA.331 🧬 ARCH.364
7 Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2B 113PA +0.43 R MOMO63 MOMI78
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.322
8 Andruw Monasterio
SS 29PA +0.25 R MOMO41 MOMI41
WOBA.307 🧬 ARCH.229
9 Marcelo Mayer
2B 44PA +0.75 R MOMO74 MOMI74
WOBA.277 🧬 ARCH.353
4.4
7.7
CWS
38-33
+148
WIN PROB
24.9% — 75.1%
O/U 12.1
ML NYY ML C:9
NYY
44-27
-180
Anthony Kay
Kitchen Sink
LHP
VS
Carlos Rodón
Kitchen Sink
LHP
wOBA CWS .281
NYY .339 NYY +.058
TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)
T3_Standard (1.00×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.01) → CWS 4.4 — NYY 7.7 | Pyth WP
vs T4_Fringevs T3_Standard
7:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
CWS LINEUP
1 Chase Meidroth
2B 65PA +1.03 R MOMO90 MOMI98
WOBA.316 🧬 ARCH.401
2 Randal Grichuk
RF 91PA +1.16 R MOMO80 MOMI80
WOBA.336 🧬 ARCH.373
3 Miguel Vargas
3B 67PA +0.87 R MOMO64 MOMI71
WOBA.326 🧬 ARCH.327
4 Colson Montgomery
SS 54PA +0.12 R MOMO36 MOMI36
WOBA.407 🧬 ARCH.193
5 Everson Pereira
RF 8PA +0.39 R MOMO48 MOMI48
WOBA.267 🧬 ARCH.269
6 Edgar Quero
C 55PA +0.18 R MOMO36 MOMI36
WOBA.281 🧬 ARCH.188
7 Braden Montgomery
RF 1PA +0.49 R MOMO52 MOMI52
WOBA.289 🧬 ARCH.283
8 Luisangel Acuña
CF 35PA +0.31 R MOMO40 MOMI55
WOBA.253 🧬 ARCH.218
9 Sam Antonacci
LF 16PA +0.20 R MOMO50 MOMI60
WOBA.346 🧬 ARCH.277
NYY LINEUP
1 Paul Goldschmidt
1B 107PA +1.27 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.38 🧬 ARCH.441
2 Ben Rice
1B 99PA +0.91 R MOMO64 MOMI76
WOBA.378 🧬 ARCH.326
3 Amed Rosario
3B 76PA +0.83 R MOMO73 MOMI73
WOBA.322 🧬 ARCH.351
4 Cody Bellinger
LF 128PA +1.22 R MOMO98 MOMI99
WOBA.36 🧬 ARCH.428
5 Jasson Domínguez
DH 59PA +0.52 R MOMO57 MOMI63
WOBA.329 🧬 ARCH.304
6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2B 108PA +0.95 R MOMO75 MOMI75
WOBA.339 🧬 ARCH.357
7 José Caballero
SS 109PA +0.53 R MOMO51 MOMI64
WOBA.316 🧬 ARCH.279
8 Anthony Volpe
SS 89PA +0.54 R MOMO64 MOMI72
WOBA.297 🧬 ARCH.325
9 Ali Sánchez
C 6PA +0.11 R MOMO45 MOMI44
WOBA.239 🧬 ARCH.242
19.3
11.9
SF
30-43
+115
WIN PROB
69.3% — 30.7%
O/U 31.2
ML SF ML C:10
ATL
46-26
-138
Carson Whisenhunt
Split Demon
LHP
VS
JR Ritchie
Kitchen Sink
RHP
wOBA SF .337
ATL .292 SF +.045
TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)
T4_Fringe (1.10×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.03) → SF 19.3 — ATL 11.9 | Pyth WP
vs T4_Fringevs T4_Fringe
7:15 PM ET · Truist Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
SF LINEUP
1 Luis Arraez
2B 99PA +1.05 R MOMO63 MOMI77
WOBA.342 🧬 ARCH.323
2 Casey Schmitt
DH 73PA +1.02 R MOMO63 MOMI76
WOBA.32 🧬 ARCH.32
3 Bryce Eldridge
DH 41PA +1.58 R MOMO90 MOMI99
WOBA.379 🧬 ARCH.403
4 Rafael Devers
1B 103PA +1.14 R MOMO74 MOMI83
WOBA.366 🧬 ARCH.356
5 Matt Chapman
3B 95PA +1.15 R MOMO74 MOMI85
WOBA.347 🧬 ARCH.356
6 Luis Arraez
2B 99PA +0.93 R MOMO63 MOMI77
WOBA.342 🧬 ARCH.323
7 Rafael Devers
1B 103PA +1.06 R MOMO74 MOMI83
WOBA.366 🧬 ARCH.356
8 Willy Adames
SS 95PA +0.71 R MOMO53 MOMI48
WOBA.332 🧬 ARCH.286
9 Jung Hoo Lee
RF 78PA +1.11 R MOMO85 MOMI99
WOBA.336 🧬 ARCH.389
10 Jung Hoo Lee
RF 78PA +1.11 R MOMO85 MOMI99
WOBA.336 🧬 ARCH.389
11 Willy Adames
SS 95PA +0.69 R MOMO53 MOMI48
WOBA.332 🧬 ARCH.286
12 Matt Chapman
3B 95PA +1.04 R MOMO74 MOMI85
WOBA.347 🧬 ARCH.356
13 Casey Schmitt
DH 73PA +0.86 R MOMO63 MOMI76
WOBA.32 🧬 ARCH.32
14 Bryce Eldridge
DH 41PA +1.36 R MOMO90 MOMI99
WOBA.379 🧬 ARCH.403
15 Drew Gilbert
CF 47PA +1.02 R MOMO75 MOMI75
WOBA.29 🧬 ARCH.36
16 Daniel Susac
C 30PA +0.27 R MOMO43 MOMI41
WOBA.316 🧬 ARCH.244
17 Daniel Susac
C 30PA +0.27 R MOMO43 MOMI41
WOBA.316 🧬 ARCH.244
18 Drew Gilbert
CF 47PA +1.02 R MOMO75 MOMI75
WOBA.29 🧬 ARCH.36
ATL LINEUP
1 Drake Baldwin
C 54PA +1.47 R MOMO95 MOMI99
WOBA.375 🧬 ARCH.418
2 Michael Harris
CF 67PA +0.47 R MOMO43 MOMI62
WOBA.332 🧬 ARCH.243
3 Michael Harris
CF 67PA +0.46 R MOMO43 MOMI62
WOBA.332 🧬 ARCH.243
4 Ha-seong Kim
SS 27PA +0.44 R MOMO46 MOMI46
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.258
5 Matt Olson
1B 79PA +1.05 R MOMO91 MOMI99
WOBA.375 🧬 ARCH.405
6 Matt Olson
1B 79PA +1.03 R MOMO91 MOMI99
WOBA.375 🧬 ARCH.405
7 Ozzie Albies
2B 73PA +0.89 R MOMO78 MOMI84
WOBA.334 🧬 ARCH.37
8 Austin Riley
3B 44PA +0.70 R MOMO58 MOMI54
WOBA.339 🧬 ARCH.31
9 Dominic Smith
DH 17PA +0.43 R MOMO56 MOMI54
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.298
10 Ozzie Albies
2B 73PA +0.85 R MOMO78 MOMI84
WOBA.334 🧬 ARCH.37
11 Mauricio Dubon
SS 48PA +0.12 R MOMO32 MOMI51
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.151
12 Mauricio Dubon
SS 48PA +0.12 R MOMO32 MOMI51
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.151
13 Austin Riley
3B 44PA +0.68 R MOMO58 MOMI54
WOBA.339 🧬 ARCH.31
14 Dominic Smith
DH 17PA +0.43 R MOMO56 MOMI54
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.298
15 Mike Yastrzemski
LF 26PA +0.17 R MOMO43 MOMI43
WOBA.333 🧬 ARCH.24
16 Mike Yastrzemski
LF 26PA +0.17 R MOMO43 MOMI43
WOBA.333 🧬 ARCH.24
17 Ha-seong Kim
SS 27PA +0.39 R MOMO46 MOMI46
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.258
18 Eli White
CF 38PA +0.55 R MOMO55 MOMI55
WOBA.299 🧬 ARCH.294
5.9
4.8
CLE
39-34
+105
WIN PROB
57.8% — 42.2%
O/U 10.7
NO PLAY
MIL
44-26
-125
Gavin Williams
Kitchen Sink
RHP
VS
Brandon Sproat
Heater-Heavy
RHP
wOBA CLE .304
MIL .291 CLE +.013
TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)
T4_Fringe (1.10×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.01) → CLE 5.9 — MIL 4.8 | Pyth WP
vs T1_Apexvs T4_Fringe
7:40 PM ET · American Family Field
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
CLE LINEUP
1 Travis Bazzana
2B 37PA +0.68 R MOMO46 MOMI46
WOBA.327 🧬 ARCH.262
2 Kyle Manzardo
1B 206PA +0.91 R MOMO77 MOMI79
WOBA.325 🧬 ARCH.365
3 Brayan Rocchio
SS 143PA +0.57 R MOMO57 MOMI57
WOBA.302 🧬 ARCH.303
4 Rhys Hoskins
1B 112PA +1.10 R MOMO96 MOMI93
WOBA.347 🧬 ARCH.421
5 Daniel Schneemann
CF 171PA +0.60 R MOMO57 MOMI57
WOBA.294 🧬 ARCH.305
6 David Fry
RF 24PA +0.63 R MOMO65 MOMI65
WOBA.325 🧬 ARCH.328
7 Steven Kwan
CF 223PA +0.50 R MOMO51 MOMI51
WOBA.318 🧬 ARCH.278
8 Petey Halpin
CF 4PA +0.15 R MOMO40 MOMI40
WOBA.206 🧬 ARCH.204
9 Patrick Bailey
C 185PA +0.36 R MOMO51 MOMI54
WOBA.271 🧬 ARCH.275
MIL LINEUP
1 Christian Yelich
DH 64PA +1.20 R MOMO94 MOMI99
WOBA.377 🧬 ARCH.414
2 Jackson Chourio
LF 62PA +0.55 R MOMO56 MOMI71
WOBA.357 🧬 ARCH.3
3 Brice Turang
2B 73PA +0.94 R MOMO73 MOMI74
WOBA.341 🧬 ARCH.351
4 William Contreras
C 74PA +0.88 R MOMO65 MOMI71
WOBA.353 🧬 ARCH.33
5 Jake Bauers
1B 46PA +0.73 R MOMO60 MOMI61
WOBA.331 🧬 ARCH.313
6 Sal Frelick
RF 59PA +0.48 R MOMO51 MOMI53
WOBA.317 🧬 ARCH.277
7 Garrett Mitchell
CF 25PA +0.80 R MOMO70 MOMI83
WOBA.37 🧬 ARCH.343
8 Cooper Pratt
SS 0PA +0.00 R MOMO40 MOMI40
WOBA.0 🧬 ARCH.0
9 David Hamilton
SS 41PA +0.49 R MOMO53 MOMI53
WOBA.282 🧬 ARCH.287
6.4
8.4
COL
28-46
+165
WIN PROB
36.3% — 63.7%
O/U 14.8
NO PLAY
CHC
38-36
-200
Sean Sullivan
Wormburner
LHP
VS
Javier Assad
Kitchen Sink
RHP
wOBA COL .305
CHC .344 CHC +.039
TIER T3_Standard (1.00×)
T3_Standard (1.00×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(1.02) → COL 6.4 — CHC 8.4 | Pyth WP
vs T3_Standardvs T3_Standard
8:05 PM ET · Wrigley Field
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
COL LINEUP
1 Jake McCarthy
CF 100PA +0.68 R MOMO46 MOMI62
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.256
2 Tyler Freeman
RF 103PA +0.67 R MOMO63 MOMI68
WOBA.315 🧬 ARCH.321
3 TJ Rumfield
1B 73PA +1.25 R MOMO74 MOMI88
WOBA.354 🧬 ARCH.354
4 Hunter Goodman
C 150PA +1.09 R MOMO78 MOMI78
WOBA.356 🧬 ARCH.367
5 Cole Carrigg
CF 3PA +0.98 R MOMO86 MOMI87
WOBA.382 🧬 ARCH.39
6 Edouard Julien
2B 86PA +0.67 R MOMO50 MOMI55
WOBA.303 🧬 ARCH.275
7 Ezequiel Tovar
SS 130PA +0.52 R MOMO46 MOMI48
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.257
8 Sterlin Thompson
RF 18PA +0.26 R MOMO47 MOMI47
WOBA.254 🧬 ARCH.259
9 Kyle Karros
3B 65PA +0.60 R MOMO47 MOMI54
WOBA.302 🧬 ARCH.264
CHC LINEUP
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF 85PA +1.38 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.339 🧬 ARCH.44
2 Nico Hoerner
2B 71PA +1.00 R MOMO77 MOMI77
WOBA.325 🧬 ARCH.365
3 Seiya Suzuki
RF 69PA +1.57 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.358 🧬 ARCH.48
4 Michael Busch
1B 63PA +0.48 R MOMO45 MOMI52
WOBA.359 🧬 ARCH.253
5 Alex Bregman
3B 53PA +0.94 R MOMO68 MOMI75
WOBA.358 🧬 ARCH.34
6 Ian Happ
LF 77PA +0.75 R MOMO60 MOMI58
WOBA.35 🧬 ARCH.311
7 Matt Shaw
RF 50PA +0.42 R MOMO51 MOMI64
WOBA.324 🧬 ARCH.278
8 Carson Kelly
C 63PA +0.88 R MOMO66 MOMI66
WOBA.323 🧬 ARCH.333
9 Dansby Swanson
SS 65PA +0.55 R MOMO56 MOMI56
WOBA.319 🧬 ARCH.298
8.9
6.0
PIT
37-37
-128
WIN PROB
65.8% — 34.2%
O/U 14.9
ML PIT ML C:9
ATH
36-37
+108
Braxton Ashcraft
Kitchen Sink
RHP
VS
Aaron Civale
Kitchen Sink
RHP
wOBA PIT .36
ATH .344 PIT +.016
TIER T1_Apex (0.87×)
T4_Fringe (1.10×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(0.96) → PIT 8.9 — ATH 6.0 | Pyth WP
vs T1_Apexvs T4_Fringe
9:40 PM ET · Sutter Health Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
PIT LINEUP
1 Spencer Horwitz
1B 238PA +1.55 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.356 🧬 ARCH.446
2 Brandon Lowe
2B 262PA +1.31 R MOMO91 MOMI97
WOBA.351 🧬 ARCH.406
3 Bryan Reynolds
LF 305PA +0.86 R MOMO70 MOMI98
WOBA.359 🧬 ARCH.34
4 Ryan O'Hearn
RF 260PA +0.91 R MOMO78 MOMI89
WOBA.344 🧬 ARCH.369
5 Nick Gonzales
3B 199PA +0.60 R MOMO56 MOMI56
WOBA.308 🧬 ARCH.299
6 Marcell Ozuna
DH 244PA +0.87 R MOMO78 MOMI83
WOBA.352 🧬 ARCH.368
7 Jake Mangum
LF 166PA +0.87 R MOMO83 MOMI99
WOBA.319 🧬 ARCH.382
8 Endy Rodriguez
C 47PA +0.84 R MOMO65 MOMI76
WOBA.317 🧬 ARCH.327
9 Jared Triolo
SS 148PA +0.47 R MOMO57 MOMI61
WOBA.303 🧬 ARCH.304
ATH LINEUP
1 Shea Langeliers
C 138PA +1.21 R MOMO85 MOMI99
WOBA.348 🧬 ARCH.39
2 Nick Kurtz
1B 119PA +1.58 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.427 🧬 ARCH.483
3 Colby Thomas
RF 22PA +0.29 R MOMO45 MOMI45
WOBA.294 🧬 ARCH.252
4 Tyler Soderstrom
LF 167PA +1.11 R MOMO92 MOMI99
WOBA.349 🧬 ARCH.408
5 Jacob Wilson
SS 137PA +1.02 R MOMO91 MOMI99
WOBA.34 🧬 ARCH.406
6 Jonah Heim
C 87PA +0.25 R MOMO45 MOMI59
WOBA.295 🧬 ARCH.25
7 Zack Gelof
3B 52PA +0.49 R MOMO48 MOMI76
WOBA.315 🧬 ARCH.269
8 Max P Muncy
3B 79PA +0.44 R MOMO50 MOMI50
WOBA.292 🧬 ARCH.275
9 Henry Bolte
CF 10PA +0.61 R MOMO76 MOMI89
WOBA.346 🧬 ARCH.361
11.3
7.0
BAL
34-40
+110
WIN PROB
69.1% — 30.9%
O/U 18.3
ML BAL ML C:10
SEA
38-36
-130
Kyle Bradish
Kitchen Sink
RHP
VS
George Kirby
Uncle Charlie
RHP
wOBA BAL .371
SEA .305 BAL +.066
TIER T4_Fringe (1.10×)
T3_Standard (1.00×)
MODEL BaseRuns×Tier×Park(0.96) → BAL 11.3 — SEA 7.0 | Pyth WP
vs T4_Fringevs T3_Standard
9:40 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
KALSHITRADE NOW BETHOGBET NOW BOVADAJOIN NOW
LINEUP MATCHUPS ▼
BAL LINEUP
1 Gunnar Henderson
SS 115PA +1.55 R MOMO91 MOMI91
WOBA.35 🧬 ARCH.406
2 Taylor Ward
LF 135PA +1.28 R MOMO72 MOMI84
WOBA.343 🧬 ARCH.349
3 Adley Rutschman
C 72PA +1.69 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.335 🧬 ARCH.442
4 Peter Alonso
1B 118PA +1.45 R MOMO83 MOMI97
WOBA.367 🧬 ARCH.383
5 Samuel Basallo
C 73PA +2.31 R MOMO99 MOMI99
WOBA.313 🧬 ARCH.52
6 Tyler O'Neill
RF 40PA +1.29 R MOMO86 MOMI99
WOBA.331 🧬 ARCH.392
7 Colton Cowser
RF 83PA +1.38 R MOMO77 MOMI77
WOBA.305 🧬 ARCH.366
8 Coby Mayo
3B 76PA +0.32 R MOMO36 MOMI33
WOBA.285 🧬 ARCH.199
9 Jeremiah Jackson
2B 57PA +0.75 R MOMO52 MOMI62
WOBA.321 🧬 ARCH.282
SEA LINEUP
1 J.P. Crawford
SS 267PA +1.03 R MOMO78 MOMI95
WOBA.331 🧬 ARCH.368
2 Cal Raleigh
C 249PA +0.87 R MOMO67 MOMI62
WOBA.346 🧬 ARCH.336
3 Julio Rodriguez
CF 329PA +0.67 R MOMO56 MOMI56
WOBA.35 🧬 ARCH.3
4 Dominic Canzone
DH 148PA +1.07 R MOMO70 MOMI94
WOBA.356 🧬 ARCH.341
5 Cole Young
2B 166PA +0.83 R MOMO58 MOMI67
WOBA.294 🧬 ARCH.308
6 Victor Robles
RF 38PA +0.28 R MOMO41 MOMI50
WOBA.332 🧬 ARCH.23
7 Colt Emerson
3B 31PA +0.76 R MOMO60 MOMI72
WOBA.363 🧬 ARCH.312
8 Connor Joe
RF 24PA +0.31 R MOMO45 MOMI45
WOBA.32 🧬 ARCH.249
9 Miles Mastrobuoni
3B 82PA +0.44 R MOMO58 MOMI58
WOBA.268 🧬 ARCH.303
Generated 2026-06-17 17:12 ET · Powered by ATLAS Pitcher DNA
DAILY DASHBOARD
JUN 17 · 15 games with lineups
HR DATA ROOM
GO YARD BOARD
Model-ranked homer candidates from live lineups, pitcher DNA, park context, stack pressure, direct H2H, and current power form.
Top HR Fit Samuel Basallo 16.6% BAL vs George Kirby
Top Damage Samuel Basallo 97 Lift +12.4pp / POW 4.3%
Stack Heat BAL 40.0 vs George Kirby / total 11.3
Lane Mix Power Edge 7 / Context Boost 7 6 lotto / 8 watch / 24 on board
HR LENSES
PICK YOUR VIEW
LENS RESULTS
FILTERED HITTERS
Tap a lens above and this list changes here first. The full data board stays below.
#1 MODEL
Samuel Basallo
BAL · #5 vs George Kirby (SEA)
Power Edge 16.6%
Power97
Boost164
Pressure23.7
Park0.96x
Total11.3
H2H0
#2 LOTTO
Peter Alonso
BAL · #4 vs George Kirby (SEA)
Context Boost 5.3%
Power32
Boost152
Pressure40.0
Park0.96x
Total11.3
H2H2/10
#3 LOTTO
Drake Baldwin
ATL · #1 vs Carson Whisenhunt (SF)
Power Edge 13.7%
Power86
Boost141
Pressure8.9
Park1.03x
Total11.9
H2H0
#4 LOTTO
Adley Rutschman
BAL · #3 vs George Kirby (SEA)
Context Boost 9.7%
Power60
Boost152
Pressure33.7
Park0.96x
Total11.3
H2H1/19
#5 LOTTO
Gunnar Henderson
BAL · #1 vs George Kirby (SEA)
Context Boost 6.5%
Power42
Boost144
Pressure38.4
Park0.96x
Total11.3
H2H1/19
#6 WATCH
Kyle Schwarber
PHI · #2 vs Sandy Alcantara (MIA)
Power Edge 12.4%
Power75
Boost123
Pressure15.4
Park1.02x
Total7.5
H2H0
#7 MODEL
Yordan Alvarez
HOU · #2 vs Casey Mize (DET)
Power Edge 12.7%
Power77
Boost123
Pressure9.1
Park0.99x
Total6.8
H2H0
#8 MODEL
Bryce Harper
PHI · #3 vs Sandy Alcantara (MIA)
Power Edge 6.9%
Power41
Boost108
Pressure23.2
Park1.02x
Total7.5
H2H3/57
#9 LOTTO
Casey Schmitt
SF · #2 vs JR Ritchie (ATL)
Power Edge 8.9%
Power54
Boost155
Pressure6.5
Park1.03x
Total19.3
H2H0
#10 WATCH
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHC · #1 vs Sean Sullivan (COL)
Power Edge 11.5%
Power72
Boost121
Pressure12.2
Park1.02x
Total8.4
H2H0
#11 WATCH
Jo Adell
LAA · #3 vs Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ)
Power Edge 10.9%
Power66
Boost123
Pressure17.6
Park1.03x
Total8.0
H2H0
#12 WATCH
Seiya Suzuki
CHC · #3 vs Sean Sullivan (COL)
Power Edge 11.4%
Power69
Boost120
Pressure12.3
Park1.02x
Total8.4
H2H0
#13 WATCH
Mike Trout
LAA · #2 vs Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ)
Power Edge 7.0%
Power43
Boost123
Pressure23.2
Park1.03x
Total8.0
H2H1/11
#14 MODEL
Isaac Paredes
HOU · #4 vs Casey Mize (DET)
Power Edge 7.5%
Power43
Boost94
Pressure16.5
Park0.99x
Total6.8
H2H1/8
#15 LOTTO
Tyler O'Neill
BAL · #6 vs George Kirby (SEA)
Context Boost 7.0%
Power40
Boost149
Pressure37.7
Park0.96x
Total11.3
H2H0
#16 MODEL
Rafael Devers
SF · #4 vs JR Ritchie (ATL)
Context Boost 5.5%
Power32
Boost161
Pressure16.3
Park1.03x
Total19.3
H2H0
#17 MODEL
Rafael Devers
SF · #7 vs JR Ritchie (ATL)
Context Boost 5.5%
Power30
Boost160
Pressure16.3
Park1.03x
Total19.3
H2H0
#18 MODEL
Rafael Devers
SF · #4 vs Grant Holmes (ATL)
Hot Bat 5.2%
Power30
Boost87
Pressure2.8
Park1.03x
Total6.8
H2H3/30
#19 MODEL
Colton Cowser
BAL · #7 vs George Kirby (SEA)
Context Boost 8.3%
Power46
Boost136
Pressure35.8
Park0.96x
Total11.3
H2H0
#20 MODEL
Kerry Carpenter
DET · #5 vs Peter Lambert (HOU)
Power Edge 7.7%
Power42
Boost78
Pressure6.8
Park0.99x
Total5.7
H2H2/10
#21 MODEL
Matt Chapman
SF · #5 vs JR Ritchie (ATL)
Context Boost 4.0%
Power24
Boost160
Pressure20.0
Park1.03x
Total19.3
H2H0
#22 WATCH
Matt Olson
ATL · #5 vs Carson Whisenhunt (SF)
Context Boost 6.8%
Power39
Boost132
Pressure15.3
Park1.03x
Total11.9
H2H0
#23 WATCH
Matt Olson
ATL · #6 vs Carson Whisenhunt (SF)
Context Boost 6.8%
Power38
Boost132
Pressure15.3
Park1.03x
Total11.9
H2H0
#24 MODEL
Junior Caminero
TB · #4 vs Shohei Ohtani (LAD)
Power Edge 11.9%
Power68
Boost95
Pressure4.2
Park0.97x
Total5.5
H2H0
HR LOTTO
HR LOTTO
Shortlist only: projected HR damage, power, matchup lift, and run context all have to clear.
8.5%+ HR power baseline matchup lift run context
1
Tyler O'Neill
Context Boost
#6 BAL vs George Kirby (SEA) · team 11.6 · park 0.96x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 39POW 4.5%LIFT +2.4pp
Blast 99
Power 39
Boost 150
Pressure 36.5
Run 1.37
H2H 0
6.9%
HR Rate
2
Peter Alonso
Context Boost
#4 BAL vs George Kirby (SEA) · team 11.6 · park 0.96x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 31H2H 2HR/10PAPOW 5.7%LIFT +0pp
Blast 99
Power 31
Boost 153
Pressure 38.9
Run 1.47
H2H 2/10
5.1%
HR Rate
3
Adley Rutschman
Context Boost
#3 BAL vs George Kirby (SEA) · team 11.6 · park 0.96x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 57H2H 1HR/19PAPOW 3.0%LIFT +6.2pp
Blast 99
Power 57
Boost 153
Pressure 33.1
Run 1.78
H2H 1/19
9.2%
HR Rate
4
Gunnar Henderson
Context Boost
#1 BAL vs George Kirby (SEA) · team 11.6 · park 0.96x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 41H2H 1HR/19PAPOW 3.9%LIFT +2.5pp
Blast 99
Power 41
Boost 145
Pressure 37.3
Run 1.56
H2H 1/19
6.4%
HR Rate
5
Kyle Schwarber
Power Edge
#1 PHI vs Sandy Alcantara (MIA) · team 8.2 · park 1.02x
HR rate, baseline pop, lift, and run context all line up.
DAMAGEDMG 76POW 6.7%LIFT +5.6pp
Blast 99
Power 76
Boost 134
Pressure 21.5
Run 1.57
H2H 0
12.4%
HR Rate
6
Mike Trout
Power Edge
#2 LAA vs Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ) · team 8.4 · park 1.03x
HR rate, baseline pop, lift, and run context all line up.
DAMAGEDMG 44H2H 1HR/11PAPOW 5.6%LIFT +1.5pp
Blast 99
Power 44
Boost 126
Pressure 24.1
Run 1.47
H2H 1/11
7.1%
HR Rate
WATCH
HR WATCHLIST
Secondary blast fits. HR damage, surge power, and stack pressure drive the profile.
6.5%+ HR damage score surge power stack pressure
L1
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Power Edge
#2 CHC vs Sean Sullivan (COL) · team 8.7 · park 1.02x
HR rate, baseline pop, lift, and run context all line up.
DAMAGEDMG 71POW 4.2%LIFT +7.3pp
Blast 99
Power 71
Boost 124
Pressure 14.9
Run 1.36
H2H 0
11.5%
HR Rate
L2
Paul Goldschmidt
Context Boost
#1 NYY vs Anthony Kay (CWS) · team 7.5 · park 1.01x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 41POW 3.9%LIFT +2.5pp
Blast 99
Power 41
Boost 101
Pressure 9.1
Run 1.26
H2H 0
6.4%
HR Rate
L3
Brandon Lowe
Power Edge
#2 PIT vs Aaron Civale (ATH) · team 9.0 · park 0.96x
HR rate, baseline pop, lift, and run context all line up.
DAMAGEDMG 56POW 5.4%LIFT +3.7pp
Blast 99
Power 56
Boost 113
Pressure 8.8
Run 1.34
H2H 0
9.1%
HR Rate
L4
Liam Hicks
Context Boost
#2 MIA vs Andrew Painter (PHI) · team 8.0 · park 1.02x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 39POW 3.1%LIFT +3.1pp
Blast 99
Power 39
Boost 100
Pressure 5.9
Run 1.27
H2H 0
6.2%
HR Rate
L5
Ketel Marte
Context Boost
#1 AZ vs Sam Aldegheri (LAA) · team 7.7 · park 1.03x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 32POW 3.9%LIFT +1.0pp
Blast 99
Power 32
Boost 98
Pressure 6.9
Run 1.34
H2H 0
4.9%
HR Rate
L6
Carter Jensen
Context Boost
#1 KC vs Zack Littell (WSH) · team 8.2 · park 1.00x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 38POW 3.4%LIFT +2.5pp
Blast 99
Power 38
Boost 97
Pressure 2.5
Run 1.38
H2H 0
5.9%
HR Rate
L7
Spencer Horwitz
Context Boost
#1 PIT vs Aaron Civale (ATH) · team 9.0 · park 0.96x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 50POW 3.1%LIFT +4.6pp
Blast 99
Power 50
Boost 112
Pressure 10.8
Run 1.58
H2H 0
7.7%
HR Rate
L8
Brandon Marsh
Context Boost
#4 PHI vs Sandy Alcantara (MIA) · team 8.2 · park 1.02x
Team total, park, form, or lineup heat is adding lift.
SURGEDMG 28POW 2.7%LIFT +1.8pp
Blast 99
Power 28
Boost 113
Pressure 32.4
Run 1.01
H2H 0
4.5%
HR Rate
MOMENTUM
HOT BATS
Recent timing plus matchup support.
5G+ streak or 4/5 hits MOMI 85+ MOMO 60+
1
🔥🔥 Alec Burleson
17G streak · L7 .233 · MOMO 70 · MOMI 98 · STL vs Bradgley Rodriguez (SD)
70
2
🔥🔥 Bryan Reynolds
8G streak · L7 .393 · MOMO 70 · MOMI 98 · PIT vs Aaron Civale (ATH)
70
3
🔥🔥 Carter Jensen
9G streak · L7 .379 · MOMO 75 · MOMI 99 · KC vs Zack Littell (WSH) · wOBA +.049
75
4
🔥🔥 Bryce Eldridge
7G streak · L7 .462 · MOMO 62 · MOMI 90 · SF vs Grant Holmes (ATL)
62
5
🔥 Dominic Canzone
6G streak · L7 .333 · MOMO 70 · MOMI 94 · SEA vs Kyle Bradish (BAL)
70
6
🔥 Gabriel Moreno
5G streak · L7 .36 · MOMO 74 · MOMI 97 · AZ vs Sam Aldegheri (LAA) · wOBA +.013
74
7
🔥🔥 Shea Langeliers
9G streak · L7 .265 · MOMO 85 · MOMI 99 · ATH vs Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) · wOBA +.042
85
8
🔥🔥 Samad Taylor
9G streak · L7 .357 · MOMO 84 · MOMI 99 · SD vs Kyle Leahy (STL) · wOBA +.043
84
9
🟢 Bobby Witt Jr.
4/5 hit games · L7 .393 · MOMO 68 · MOMI 87 · KC vs Zack Littell (WSH)
68
10
🟢 J.P. Crawford
5/7 hit games · L7 .333 · MOMO 78 · MOMI 95 · SEA vs Kyle Bradish (BAL) · wOBA +.037
78
BOARD
TODAY'S PICKS
Official moneyline board, separate from HR edges.
C:8+ board ROI price gates posted picks persist
1
SF ML C:10
SF @ ATL
2
BAL ML C:10
BAL @ SEA
3
NYY ML C:9
CWS @ NYY
4
PIT ML C:9
PIT @ ATH
5
SD ML C:8
SD @ STL
DATA
ADVANCED HR BOARD
Every hitter here clears the board filter for power, matchup sample, lineup slot, and park context.
HR rate damage score surge power stack pressure park factor H2H
#HitterPitcherLensHR%PowerBoostPressureParkTotalH2H
1 Samuel BasalloBAL · #5 · MODEL George KirbySEA Power Edge 16.6% 97 164 23.7 0.96x 11.3 0
2 Peter AlonsoBAL · #4 · LOTTO George KirbySEA Context Boost 5.3% 32 152 40.0 0.96x 11.3 2/10
3 Drake BaldwinATL · #1 · LOTTO Carson WhisenhuntSF Power Edge 13.7% 86 141 8.9 1.03x 11.9 0
4 Adley RutschmanBAL · #3 · LOTTO George KirbySEA Context Boost 9.7% 60 152 33.7 0.96x 11.3 1/19
5 Gunnar HendersonBAL · #1 · LOTTO George KirbySEA Context Boost 6.5% 42 144 38.4 0.96x 11.3 1/19
6 Kyle SchwarberPHI · #2 · WATCH Sandy AlcantaraMIA Power Edge 12.4% 75 123 15.4 1.02x 7.5 0
7 Yordan AlvarezHOU · #2 · MODEL Casey MizeDET Power Edge 12.7% 77 123 9.1 0.99x 6.8 0
8 Bryce HarperPHI · #3 · MODEL Sandy AlcantaraMIA Power Edge 6.9% 41 108 23.2 1.02x 7.5 3/57
9 Casey SchmittSF · #2 · LOTTO JR RitchieATL Power Edge 8.9% 54 155 6.5 1.03x 19.3 0
10 Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC · #1 · WATCH Sean SullivanCOL Power Edge 11.5% 72 121 12.2 1.02x 8.4 0
11 Jo AdellLAA · #3 · WATCH Eduardo RodriguezAZ Power Edge 10.9% 66 123 17.6 1.03x 8.0 0
12 Seiya SuzukiCHC · #3 · WATCH Sean SullivanCOL Power Edge 11.4% 69 120 12.3 1.02x 8.4 0
13 Mike TroutLAA · #2 · WATCH Eduardo RodriguezAZ Power Edge 7.0% 43 123 23.2 1.03x 8.0 1/11
14 Isaac ParedesHOU · #4 · MODEL Casey MizeDET Power Edge 7.5% 43 94 16.5 0.99x 6.8 1/8
15 Tyler O'NeillBAL · #6 · LOTTO George KirbySEA Context Boost 7.0% 40 149 37.7 0.96x 11.3 0
16 Rafael DeversSF · #4 · MODEL JR RitchieATL Context Boost 5.5% 32 161 16.3 1.03x 19.3 0
17 Rafael DeversSF · #7 · MODEL JR RitchieATL Context Boost 5.5% 30 160 16.3 1.03x 19.3 0
18 Rafael DeversSF · #4 · MODEL Grant HolmesATL Hot Bat 5.2% 30 87 2.8 1.03x 6.8 3/30
19 Colton CowserBAL · #7 · MODEL George KirbySEA Context Boost 8.3% 46 136 35.8 0.96x 11.3 0
20 Kerry CarpenterDET · #5 · MODEL Peter LambertHOU Power Edge 7.7% 42 78 6.8 0.99x 5.7 2/10
21 Matt ChapmanSF · #5 · MODEL JR RitchieATL Context Boost 4.0% 24 160 20.0 1.03x 19.3 0
22 Matt OlsonATL · #5 · WATCH Carson WhisenhuntSF Context Boost 6.8% 39 132 15.3 1.03x 11.9 0
23 Matt OlsonATL · #6 · WATCH Carson WhisenhuntSF Context Boost 6.8% 38 132 15.3 1.03x 11.9 0
24 Junior CamineroTB · #4 · MODEL Shohei OhtaniLAD Power Edge 11.9% 68 95 4.2 0.97x 5.5 0

HOW MLB SIM WORKS

MLB SIM uses the Pitcher DNA system (Gaussian Mixture Model clustering) to classify every pitcher into one of 26 archetypes (15 RHP + 11 LHP) based on their pitch mix, velocity, movement, and approach. Every batter has historical performance data against each archetype — because baseball is fundamentally a 1v1 sport, the specific pitcher a batter faces defines their expected performance.

When lineups are released, MLB SIM projects every batter's event rates based on how they've historically hit against the opposing pitcher's archetype. MOMO is the matchup output score from that pitcher-DNA projection, anchored to projected output with baseline talent and matchup swing as modifiers. MOMI is MOMO with a live momentum adjustment from consecutive streak, recent hit-game density, and last-7 form, because hitter game logs are not treated as independent coin flips.

MOMO — 1 TO 99

MOMO is Optimized Matchup Output. It is anchored by today's pitcher-DNA projected wOBA, then modified by the hitter's own baseline and the matchup swing. That means an elite hitter in a below-baseline matchup can be downgraded without being incorrectly treated like a zero-impact bat.

85-99Elite matchup — archetype strongly favors the hitter
70-84Plus matchup — strong pitcher-DNA output today
50-69Neutral to playable matchup output
1-49Tough matchup — weak projected output after baseline adjustment
MOMO FORMULA (matchup output): projected output score = pitcher-DNA wOBA mapped to 1-99 baseline talent score = season wOBA mapped to 1-99 matchup swing modifier = (pitcher-DNA wOBA - baseline wOBA) * 80 MOMO = 75% output score + 25% talent score + matchup modifier Example: baseline wOBA = .417 vs pitcher-DNA wOBA = .325 wOBA swing = -.092 MOMO = 64

MOMI — 1 TO 99

MOMI is Optimized Momentum Impact. It starts with MOMO, then adjusts for active hitting streak length, recent hit-game density, and last-7 batting average. Consecutive streaks are signal, but so are interrupted hot patterns like 4 of the last 5 games with a hit.

MOMI FORMULA (momentum impact): MOMI starts with MOMO + active-streak bonus when a streak exists + nonlinear 5+ / 10+ streak ramp + recent hit-game density bonus (4/5, 5/7, 7/10) + last-7 AVG strength modifier when a momentum signal exists no streak + no hit-density signal = MOMI remains MOMO Example: MOMO = 75 active/recent form = 4 of last 5 hit games last-7 AVG = .375 MOMI = 86

PROJECTION METHODOLOGY

Team runs are projected using the BaseRuns formula, a context-neutral run estimator:

A = H + BB - HR B = 1.02 × (1.4×TB - 0.6×H + 0.1×BB) C = PA - H - BB D = HR Runs = A×B / (B+C) + D Spread = Home Runs − Away Runs O/U Total = Home Runs + Away Runs

Batter projections use archetype-specific wOBA with head-to-head adjustments when sufficient plate appearance history exists.

BULLPEN PREDICTIONS

MLB SIM predicts bullpen deployment using three layers:

Layer 1 — Availability: Tracks reliever workload history to determine who CAN pitch.

Layer 2 — Usage Order: Estimates starter expected innings, then ranks available relievers by role hierarchy.

Layer 3 — Matchup Integration: For each predicted reliever, computes MOMO/MOMI against the lineup slots they'll likely face.