FEB 20 SLATE

9 games
MOJO (33–99) rates each player using 25% box-score stats + 75% lineup impact (WOWY on/off, 2-to-5-man synergy, and archetype fit). MOJI (0–99) converts team lineups into a quality score by weighting player MOJOs by projected minutes with fatigue and DNP adjustments.
IND MOJO #28 19-62
IND -4.0 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 237.0 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD IND -4.0 4
IND 120 — WAS 116
WAS MOJO #26 17-64
IND MOJO 264 WAS MOJO 262
PnR-Heavy (Fast)
Trans-Defense (Poor)
vs
PnR-Heavy (Fast)
Switch-Everything (Poor)
MOJI IND 49.4
WAS 50.1 WAS +0.7
NRtg IND -8.3
WAS -9.0 IND +0.7
L10 IND -2.1
WAS -14.0 IND +11.6
SYN IND 43.3
WAS 21.8 IND +21.5
MODEL 40% MOJI (+0.3) + 10% NRtg (-0.1) + 30% L10 (-3.5) + 20% SYN (-0.6) = PROJ IND -4.0
HCA ▲1.8 WAS
UTA MOJO #21 22-59
UTA -0.5 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 241.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD UTA -0.5 2
UTA 121 — MEM 120
MEM MOJO #19 25-56
UTA MOJO 316 MEM MOJO 318
Motion (Fast)
Switch-Everything (Poor)
vs
Post-Oriented (Fast)
Trans-Defense (Avg)
MOJI UTA 54.3
MEM 53.8 UTA +0.5
NRtg UTA -7.3
MEM -0.4 MEM +6.9
L10 UTA -9.8
MEM -16.0 UTA +4.4
SYN UTA 40.7
MEM 45.4 MEM +4.7
MODEL 40% MOJI (-0.2) + 10% NRtg (+0.7) + 30% L10 (-1.3) + 20% SYN (+0.1) = PROJ UTA -0.5
HCA ▲1.8 MEM
CLE MOJO #9 51-30
CHA +0.0 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 229.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD CHA +0.0 2
CLE 115 — CHA 115
CHA MOJO #12 43-38
CLE MOJO 359 CHA MOJO 330
PnR-Heavy (Fast)
Drop-Coverage (Good)
vs
PnR-Heavy (Mid)
Switch-Everything (Avg)
MOJI CLE 61.7
CHA 59.8 CLE +1.9
NRtg CLE +4.3
CHA +5.5 CHA +1.2
L10 CLE +1.1
CHA +2.8 CHA +3.5
SYN CLE 70.2
CHA 61.9 CLE +8.3
MODEL 40% MOJI (-0.8) + 10% NRtg (+0.1) + 30% L10 (+1.1) + 20% SYN (-0.2) = PROJ CHA -0.0
HCA ▲1.8 CHA
MIA MOJO #11 42-39
ATL -1.0 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 244.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD ATL -1.0 3
MIA 122 — ATL 123
ATL MOJO #18 46-35
MIA MOJO 340 ATL MOJO 324
Run-and-Gun (Fast)
Blitz (Good)
vs
Run-and-Gun (Fast)
Rim-Protect (Avg)
MOJI MIA 62.8
ATL 55.8 MIA +7.1
NRtg MIA +3.2
ATL +2.2 MIA +1.0
L10 MIA -2.7
ATL +8.7 ATL +13.1
SYN MIA 55.2
ATL 50.3 MIA +4.8
MODEL 40% MOJI (-2.8) + 10% NRtg (-0.1) + 30% L10 (+3.9) + 20% SYN (-0.1) = PROJ ATL -1.0
HCA ▲1.8 ATL
DAL MOJO #27 25-56
MIN -10.0 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 235.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD MIN -10.0 8
DAL 113 — MIN 123
MIN MOJO #7 48-33
DAL MOJO 262 MIN MOJO 362
Run-and-Gun (Fast)
Trans-Defense (Good)
vs
ISO-Heavy (Fast)
Switch-Everything (Good)
MOJI DAL 51.8
MIN 62.9 MIN +11.1
NRtg DAL -4.2
MIN +5.6 MIN +9.8
L10 DAL -9.7
MIN -0.9 MIN +12.1
SYN DAL 41.3
MIN 66.6 MIN +25.3
MODEL 40% MOJI (+4.4) + 10% NRtg (+1.0) + 30% L10 (+3.6) + 20% SYN (+0.8) = PROJ MIN -10.0
HCA ▲1.8 MIN
MIL MOJO #24 32-49
MIL -1.5 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 229.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD MIL -1.5 3
MIL 116 — NOP 114
NOP MOJO #25 26-55
MIL MOJO 308 NOP MOJO 292
Post-Oriented (Mid)
Trans-Defense (Avg)
vs
ISO-Heavy (Fast)
Switch-Everything (Poor)
MOJI MIL 53.0
NOP 52.2 MIL +0.8
NRtg MIL -4.0
NOP -3.1 NOP +0.9
L10 MIL -2.7
NOP -7.1 MIL +4.1
SYN MIL 48.2
NOP 40.1 MIL +8.1
MODEL 40% MOJI (-0.3) + 10% NRtg (+0.1) + 30% L10 (-1.2) + 20% SYN (-0.2) = PROJ MIL -1.5
HCA ▲1.8 NOP
BKN MOJO #29 20-61
OKC -19.5 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 220.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD OKC -19.5 10
BKN 100 — OKC 120
OKC MOJO #1 64-17
BKN MOJO 254 OKC MOJO 400
Spot-Up Heavy (Mid)
Drop-Coverage (Poor)
vs
ISO-Heavy (Fast)
Trans-Defense (Elite)
MOJI BKN 48.2
OKC 73.7 OKC +25.5
NRtg BKN -8.7
OKC +12.7 OKC +21.4
L10 BKN -9.3
OKC +8.6 OKC +19.7
SYN BKN 38.0
OKC 80.4 OKC +42.4
MODEL 40% MOJI (+10.2) + 10% NRtg (+2.1) + 30% L10 (+5.9) + 20% SYN (+1.3) = PROJ OKC -19.5
HCA ▲1.8 OKC
LAC MOJO #23 41-40
LAL -4.5 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 223.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD LAL -4.5 5
LAC 110 — LAL 114
LAL MOJO #17 52-29
LAC MOJO 295 LAL MOJO 329
ISO-Heavy (Mid)
Drop-Coverage (Avg)
vs
Post-Oriented (Mid)
Rim-Protect (Avg)
MOJI LAC 53.0
LAL 57.6 LAL +4.6
NRtg LAC +0.4
LAL +2.2 LAL +1.8
L10 LAC -2.1
LAL +4.7 LAL +8.6
SYN LAC 58.3
LAL 50.5 LAC +7.8
MODEL 40% MOJI (+1.8) + 10% NRtg (+0.2) + 30% L10 (+2.6) + 20% SYN (-0.2) = PROJ LAL -4.5
HCA ▲1.8 LAL
DEN MOJO #8 53-28
DEN -4.0 (PROJ. SPREAD)
O/U 234.5 (PROJ O/U)
SPREAD DEN -4.0 4
DEN 119 — POR 115
POR MOJO #20 41-40
DEN MOJO 358 POR MOJO 309
Post-Oriented (Mid)
Rim-Protect (Avg)
vs
Spot-Up Heavy (Fast)
Rim-Protect (Avg)
MOJI DEN 59.5
POR 55.7 DEN +3.9
NRtg DEN +3.8
POR -1.3 DEN +5.1
L10 DEN +11.9
POR +6.2 DEN +3.9
SYN DEN 72.8
POR 53.4 DEN +19.3
MODEL 40% MOJI (-1.6) + 10% NRtg (-0.5) + 30% L10 (-1.2) + 20% SYN (-0.6) = PROJ DEN -4.0
HCA ▲1.8 POR

PLAYER STATS

Top 20 matchup spotlights ranked by MOJO + matchup advantage
1
Z. Edey MEM vs UTA
◆ Unclassified · MOJO 91
13.6p | 1.1a | 11.1r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 13.6 pts // 67% TS vs 120 DRTG // ❄️ COOLING DOWN (5G)
2
J. Morant MEM vs UTA
🎯 Playmaking Guard · MOJO 60
19.5p | 8.1a | 3.3r ELITE
DRTG 120
PTS 19.5 PROJ
Avg 19.5 pts // 52% TS vs 120 DRTG // 🔥 HEATING UP (5G)
2316402117 L5 avg: 23
3
C. Coward MEM vs UTA
🦾 Two-Way Wing · MOJO 60
13.4p | 2.8a | 6.2r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 13.4 pts // 58% TS vs 120 DRTG // ❄️ COOLING DOWN (5G)
4
T. Jerome MEM vs UTA
◆ Unclassified · MOJO 59
19.4p | 5.4a | 2.8r ELITE
Δ -0.1
PTS 19.5 PROJ
Avg 19.4 pts // 64% TS vs 120 DRTG
170191913 L5 avg: 14
5
P. Siakam IND vs WAS
⚡ Small-Ball 4 · MOJO 62
24.0p | 3.9a | 6.7r ELITE
DRTG 120
PTS 24.0 PROJ
Avg 24.0 pts // 56% TS vs 120 DRTG
300301819 L5 avg: 19
6
L. Lovering MEM vs UTA
◆ Unclassified · MOJO 58
7.0p | 1.5a | 7.5r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 7.0 pts // 57% TS vs 120 DRTG
7
S. Aldama MEM vs UTA
📐 Stretch 5 · MOJO 56
14.0p | 2.9a | 6.7r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 14.0 pts // 57% TS vs 120 DRTG // ❄️ COOLING DOWN (5G)
8
I. Zubac IND vs WAS
🏰 Rim Protector · MOJO 59
14.4p | 2.2a | 11.0r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 14.4 pts // 64% TS vs 120 DRTG // ❄️ COOLING DOWN (5G)
9
C. Spencer MEM vs UTA
🎯 Sharpshooter · MOJO 55
11.4p | 5.5a | 2.7r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 11.4 pts // 65% TS vs 120 DRTG // 📉 TRENDING DOWN (5G)
10
S. Gilgeous-Alexander OKC vs BKN
⚡ Scoring Guard · MOJO 95
31.6p | 6.4a | 4.4r ELITE
Δ +0.1
PTS 31.5 PROJ
Avg 31.6 pts // 66% TS vs 118 DRTG // 📉 TRENDING DOWN (5G)
2034302924 L5 avg: 27
11
J. Wells MEM vs UTA
📐 Stretch Forward · MOJO 51
12.6p | 1.7a | 3.3r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 12.6 pts // 56% TS vs 120 DRTG // 📈 TRENDING UP (5G)
12
A. Nembhard IND vs WAS
🎯 Playmaking Guard · MOJO 51
17.2p | 7.3a | 2.8r ELITE
Δ +0.2
PTS 17.0 PROJ
Avg 17.2 pts // 56% TS vs 120 DRTG // 📉 TRENDING DOWN (5G)
2205024 L5 avg: 10
13
C. Holmgren OKC vs BKN
🏰 Rim Protector · MOJO 88
17.3p | 1.8a | 9.0r ELITE
Δ -0.2
PTS 17.5 PROJ
Avg 17.3 pts // 65% TS vs 118 DRTG // 🔥 HEATING UP (5G)
1715161313 L5 avg: 15
14
J. Huff IND vs WAS
📐 Stretch 5 · MOJO 50
9.2p | 1.3a | 3.9r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 9.2 pts // 60% TS vs 120 DRTG
15
A. Nesmith IND vs WAS
🔒 3-and-D Wing · MOJO 49
12.7p | 2.1a | 4.6r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 12.7 pts // 52% TS vs 120 DRTG // ❄️ COOLING DOWN (5G)
16
M. Potter IND vs WAS
📐 Stretch 5 · MOJO 49
9.3p | 1.6a | 4.7r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 9.3 pts // 67% TS vs 120 DRTG // 🔥 HEATING UP (5G)
17
A. Mitchell OKC vs BKN
🛡️ Defensive Specialist · MOJO 86
14.1p | 3.7a | 3.5r ELITE
DRTG 118
Avg 14.1 pts // 59% TS vs 118 DRTG // 📉 TRENDING DOWN (5G)
18
I. Hartenstein OKC vs BKN
🏰 Rim Protector · MOJO 81
10.2p | 3.5a | 9.2r ELITE
DRTG 118
Avg 10.2 pts // 64% TS vs 118 DRTG // 🔥 HEATING UP (5G)
19
J. Walker IND vs WAS
🔒 3-and-D Wing · MOJO 43
11.1p | 2.3a | 5.0r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 11.1 pts // 53% TS vs 120 DRTG // 📈 TRENDING UP (5G)
20
B. Sheppard IND vs WAS
⚔️ Slasher · MOJO 43
6.9p | 1.8a | 3.1r ELITE
DRTG 120
Avg 6.9 pts // 54% TS vs 120 DRTG // 🔥 HEATING UP (5G)

PLAYER STAT LINES (PROJ. LINE)

Season averages adjusted for opponent defense + pace
All lines marked (PROJ. LINE) are SIM-projected from season stats adjusted for matchup. Real player props will replace projections when available via sportsbook API.
IND @ WAS
P. Siakam 26.3p 4.0a 6.7r 37.0
A. Nembhard 18.9p 7.5a 2.8r 29.2
I. Zubac 15.8p 2.2a 11.0r 29.0
A. Nesmith 13.9p 2.1a 4.6r 20.6
J. Walker 12.2p 2.3a 5.0r 19.5
B. Sheppard 7.6p 1.8a 3.1r 12.5
J. Huff 10.1p 1.3a 3.9r 15.3
M. Potter 10.2p 1.6a 4.7r 16.5
L. Black 9.9p 0.7a 6.3r 16.9
J. Reese 10.3p 1.7a 10.7r 22.7
A. Davis 21.8p 2.9a 11.1r 35.8
K. George 15.8p 4.6a 5.1r 25.5
A. Sarr 18.4p 2.9a 7.8r 29.1
B. Carrington 10.5p 4.6a 3.6r 18.7
T. Young 19.8p 8.8a 1.5r 30.1
B. Coulibaly 11.2p 2.6a 4.3r 18.1
UTA @ MEM
L. Markkanen 28.2p 2.1a 6.9r 37.2
K. George 25.4p 6.4a 3.8r 35.6
W. Kessler 15.2p 3.1a 10.8r 29.1
J. Jackson Jr. 20.5p 2.0a 5.7r 28.2
A. Bailey 13.1p 1.7a 4.0r 18.8
J. Nurkić 11.5p 4.9a 10.4r 26.8
I. Collier 12.1p 7.5a 2.5r 22.1
S. Mykhailiuk 9.6p 1.9a 2.5r 14.0
J. Morant 21.5p 8.3a 3.3r 33.1
S. Aldama 15.4p 3.0a 6.7r 25.1
J. Wells 13.9p 1.7a 3.3r 18.9
C. Coward 14.7p 2.9a 6.2r 23.8
Z. Edey 15.0p 1.1a 11.1r 27.2
L. Lovering 7.7p 1.5a 7.5r 16.7
C. Spencer 12.5p 5.6a 2.7r 20.8
T. Jerome 21.3p 5.5a 2.8r 29.6
CLE @ CHA
J. Harden 24.7p 8.1a 4.8r 37.6
D. Mitchell 29.0p 5.8a 4.4r 39.2
E. Mobley 17.9p 3.8a 8.5r 30.2
J. Tyson 13.8p 2.2a 5.2r 21.2
J. Allen 15.5p 1.9a 8.3r 25.7
D. Schröder 12.5p 5.2a 2.8r 20.5
S. Merrill 13.3p 2.2a 2.2r 17.7
D. Wade 5.9p 1.6a 4.1r 11.6
K. Knueppel 19.4p 3.4a 5.3r 28.1
M. Bridges 17.6p 3.4a 5.8r 26.8
B. Miller 21.0p 3.4a 4.9r 29.3
L. Ball 19.3p 7.3a 4.7r 31.3
C. White 18.0p 4.6a 3.5r 26.1
M. Diabaté 8.5p 1.8a 8.6r 18.9
S. James 5.5p 2.0a 3.4r 10.9
R. Kalkbrenner 7.9p 0.8a 5.8r 14.5
MIA @ ATL
B. Adebayo 19.8p 3.0a 10.0r 32.8
A. Wiggins 16.8p 2.9a 5.2r 24.9
T. Herro 23.1p 3.8a 4.6r 31.5
N. Powell 23.7p 2.7a 3.7r 30.1
J. Jaquez Jr. 16.1p 4.8a 5.4r 26.3
D. Mitchell 9.3p 7.1a 2.6r 19.0
P. Larsson 11.0p 3.5a 3.5r 18.0
K. Ware 12.0p 0.6a 9.6r 22.2
J. Johnson 23.7p 8.2a 10.7r 42.6
D. Daniels 11.9p 6.3a 6.7r 24.9
N. Alexander-Walker 20.6p 3.9a 3.6r 28.1
O. Okongwu 16.6p 3.4a 7.9r 27.9
C. McCollum 19.3p 3.8a 3.5r 26.6
J. Kuminga 13.7p 2.7a 6.2r 22.6
Z. Risacher 10.4p 1.4a 3.8r 15.6
J. Landale 11.5p 1.7a 6.1r 19.3
DAL @ MIN
C. Flagg 20.8p 4.3a 6.5r 31.6
P. Washington 14.4p 1.9a 6.9r 23.2
M. Christie 13.3p 2.2a 3.5r 19.0
N. Marshall 15.6p 3.2a 4.8r 23.6
K. Middleton 11.1p 3.4a 4.0r 18.5
B. Williams 13.3p 3.9a 3.0r 20.2
K. Thompson 12.1p 1.4a 2.3r 15.8
D. Gafford 8.5p 1.0a 6.5r 16.0
A. Edwards 30.7p 3.7a 5.1r 39.5
J. Randle 22.2p 5.4a 7.0r 34.6
J. McDaniels 15.5p 2.9a 4.4r 22.8
R. Gobert 11.4p 1.7a 11.4r 24.5
D. DiVincenzo 13.2p 4.3a 4.4r 21.9
A. Dosunmu 14.7p 3.5a 2.8r 21.0
N. Reid 14.3p 2.5a 6.4r 23.2
K. Anderson 7.4p 2.7a 3.2r 13.3
MIL @ NOP
K. Porter Jr. 18.4p 7.4a 5.1r 30.9
R. Rollins 17.6p 5.5a 4.7r 27.8
A. Green 10.5p 1.9a 2.4r 14.8
G. Antetokounmpo 28.9p 5.5a 9.7r 44.1
M. Turner 12.9p 1.5a 5.4r 19.8
K. Kuzma 13.8p 2.6a 4.6r 21.0
B. Portis 13.9p 1.5a 6.2r 21.6
C. Thomas 15.1p 2.6a 1.8r 19.5
T. Murphy III 22.8p 3.8a 5.5r 32.1
S. Bey 18.1p 2.5a 5.6r 26.2
Z. Williamson 22.4p 3.4a 5.9r 31.7
H. Jones 9.3p 2.9a 3.5r 15.7
D. Murray 16.0p 6.0a 5.1r 27.1
J. Fears 13.7p 3.2a 3.6r 20.5
D. Queen 12.4p 3.9a 7.0r 23.3
J. Poole 14.5p 3.1a 2.1r 19.7
BKN @ OKC
M. Porter Jr. 22.7p 3.1a 7.0r 32.8
N. Claxton 11.5p 3.9a 6.9r 22.3
N. Clowney 12.1p 1.7a 4.1r 17.9
E. Dëmin 9.6p 3.3a 3.1r 16.0
T. Mann 7.0p 3.2a 3.1r 13.3
Z. Williams 9.1p 0.9a 2.3r 12.3
N. Traore 7.7p 3.7a 1.6r 13.0
D. Wolf 8.1p 2.3a 4.5r 14.9
S. Gilgeous-Alexander 33.0p 6.3a 4.3r 43.6
C. Holmgren 18.1p 1.8a 8.7r 28.6
J. Williams 18.3p 5.3a 4.6r 28.2
L. Dort 9.1p 1.3a 3.8r 14.2
C. Wallace 9.3p 2.7a 3.0r 15.0
A. Mitchell 14.7p 3.7a 3.4r 21.8
I. Hartenstein 10.7p 3.5a 8.9r 23.1
A. Wiggins 10.8p 1.9a 3.3r 16.0
LAC @ LAL
K. Leonard 28.4p 3.6a 6.2r 38.2
B. Mathurin 18.2p 2.3a 5.5r 26.0
D. Garland 18.0p 6.7a 2.4r 27.1
J. Collins 14.1p 1.0a 5.0r 20.1
K. Dunn 7.9p 3.6a 3.2r 14.7
D. Jones Jr. 11.3p 1.2a 2.7r 15.2
B. Bogdanović 7.8p 2.7a 2.8r 13.3
J. Miller 9.6p 2.0a 2.9r 14.5
L. Dončić 32.9p 8.4a 7.5r 48.8
A. Reaves 23.8p 5.3a 4.5r 33.6
L. James 21.7p 6.9a 5.4r 34.0
R. Hachimura 11.7p 0.9a 3.2r 15.8
M. Smart 9.6p 2.8a 2.7r 15.1
D. Ayton 12.7p 0.9a 7.9r 21.5
J. LaRavia 9.1p 1.8a 3.8r 14.7
L. Kennard 8.5p 2.1a 2.2r 12.8
DEN @ POR
J. Murray 26.5p 7.2a 4.2r 37.9
N. Jokić 29.9p 10.4a 12.3r 52.6
C. Braun 11.2p 3.0a 4.7r 18.9
P. Watson 15.5p 2.0a 4.8r 22.3
C. Johnson 11.6p 2.4a 3.7r 17.7
A. Gordon 17.6p 2.5a 5.9r 26.0
T. Hardaway Jr. 14.2p 1.3a 2.6r 18.1
B. Brown 7.9p 2.2a 3.9r 14.0
T. Camara 13.6p 2.5a 5.2r 21.3
D. Avdija 25.5p 6.6a 6.9r 39.0
S. Sharpe 22.4p 2.6a 4.3r 29.3
J. Grant 19.6p 2.3a 3.5r 25.4
J. Holiday 17.4p 6.4a 4.5r 28.3
D. Clingan 12.4p 2.1a 11.3r 25.8
K. Murray 6.4p 1.2a 3.7r 11.3
S. Henderson 12.2p 4.3a 2.8r 19.3

TOP 50 MOJO

League-wide player rankings by MOJO
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HOME MOJI —i
MOJI — Minutes-weighted Offensive Lineup Index

Lineup quality rating (0–99):
• Player MOJO scores weighted by minutes
• Usage redistribution from DNP players
• Fatigue penalty for overplayed minutes
• Archetype decay for extra usage load
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G
W
W
B
BENCH 0
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LOCKER ROOM 0
AWAY MOJI —i
MOJI — Minutes-weighted Offensive Lineup Index

Lineup quality rating (0–99):
• Player MOJO scores weighted by minutes
• Usage redistribution from DNP players
• Fatigue penalty for overplayed minutes
• Archetype decay for extra usage load
G
G
W
W
B
BENCH 0
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LOCKER ROOM 0
WOWY INSPECTOR
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HOW NBA SIM WORKS

NBA SIM is a data-driven prediction system that analyzes coaching schemes, player archetypes, and lineup synergy to predict game spreads and over/unders. All data sourced from 2025-26 NBA season statistics via the official NBA API.

MOJO (Morello's Optimized Joint Output) — 33 TO 99

Every player gets a MOJO score from 33-99 using a 75% offense / 25% defense split plus shared impact components, blended with team synergy context.

OFFENSE (75%)
Points× 1.2
Assists× 1.8
True Shooting %× 40
Usage %× 15
DEFENSE (25%)
Stocks (STL × 8.0 + BLK × 6.0)
Def Rating bonus(115 − DRtg) × 2.5
SHARED
Rebounds× 0.8
Net Rating× 0.8
Minutes/Game× 0.3

Defensive Rating (DRtg) matters: a player with 107 DRtg earns ~20 defensive points, while 112 DRtg earns only ~7.5. Elite defenders and rim protectors get a meaningful MOJO boost.

83-99Elite / All-Star caliber
67-82Strong Starter
52-66Rotation Player
40-51Limited Role
33-39Fringe / Minimal Impact

MOJO Range shows the expected floor-to-ceiling for each player based on their score volatility. Elite players (MOJO 83+) have tighter ranges, while mid-tier players have wider variance.

Team MOJO Ranking (1-30) is the minutes-weighted average MOJO score across each team's top 10 rotation players, weighted by minutes per game.

PLAYER ARCHETYPES

Players are clustered into archetypes using K-Means on 16 statistical features per position group. The optimal number of clusters (K) per position is chosen by silhouette score, with a minimum of 3 archetypes per position. Features include per-36 rates, efficiency metrics, and impact stats — weighted differently per position (e.g., assists weighted 1.5x for PGs, blocks 1.5x for centers).

🔒
3-and-D Wing
Defensive wing who spaces the floor. Combines perimeter lockdown with corner threes.
💨
Athletic Wing
Versatile, athletic wing. Contributes across the board with energy and athleticism.
🔄
Combo Guard
Versatile guard who can both score and distribute. Balanced statistical profile.
🛡️
Defensive Specialist
Defensive-first guard. Low usage but elite on-ball pressure and deflections.
🧠
Floor General
Pass-first point guard. Orchestrates the offense with high assist rates and low turnovers.
🎯
Playmaking Guard
Shot-creating guard with strong passing vision. Combines scoring with facilitation.
🧠
Point Forward
Forward with guard-like passing. Initiates offense from the post or perimeter.
🏰
Rim Protector
Elite shot-blocker. Anchors the defense with rim protection and rebounding.
Scoring Guard
High-usage backcourt scorer. Attacks off the dribble and in pick-and-roll. Elite shot creation.
🎯
Sharpshooter
Elite 3-point specialist. Spaces the floor and punishes closeouts. High 3PA rate.
⚔️
Slasher
Rim-attacking wing. Gets to the basket with speed and athleticism. High FTA rate.
Small-Ball 4
Undersized but versatile 4. Plays with speed and skill rather than size.
📐
Stretch 5
Modern center who can shoot from distance. Provides spacing from the 5 position.
📐
Stretch Big
Shooting big man. Provides floor spacing from the 4/5 with reliable outside shooting.
📐
Stretch Forward
Floor-spacing forward. Pulls opposing bigs to the perimeter with consistent shooting.
🏋️
Traditional Center
Classic big man. Rebounds, protects the rim, and finishes inside.
🏋️
Traditional PF
Physical power forward. Operates in the post and mid-range. Strong rebounder.
🦾
Two-Way Forward
Two-way forward contributing on both ends. Solid defender with offensive versatility.
🦾
Two-Way Wing
Elite two-way player at the wing. Impacts both ends with scoring and perimeter defense.
🔮
Versatile Big
Multi-skilled center. Can pass, shoot, and defend at an above-average level.

COACHING SCHEMES

Each team's offensive and defensive schemes are classified from play type distributions, pace, and shooting profiles using percentile-rank comparison.

Offensive Schemes

PnR-Heavy — Pick-and-roll dominant offense, high screen usage
ISO-Heavy — Isolation-focused, high individual creation
Motion — Ball movement offense, high assist rate, low ISO
Run-and-Gun — Transition-heavy, fast pace, high possession count
Spot-Up Heavy — Emphasis on catch-and-shoot, 3-point heavy
Post-Oriented — Interior-focused with post-up plays

Defensive Schemes

Switch-Everything — Versatile switching on all screens
Drop-Coverage — Big drops back on screens, protects paint
Rim-Protect — Paint-first defense, elite rim protection
Trans-Defense — Transition defense priority, stops fast breaks
Blitz — Aggressive trapping on ball screens

MOJI SPREAD MODEL — 10-STEP PIPELINE

The SIM runs a 10-step pipeline to produce projected spreads and totals for every game. Real lines from sportsbooks via RotoWire. Projected lines marked (PROJ.) where real data is unavailable.

Step 0Filter out started/completed games
Step 1Get starting lineups from RotoWire
Step 2Project minutes for available players
Step 3Compute lineup quality rating
Step 4Compute adjusted MOJI with archetype-aware usage redistribution
Step 5Apply stocks penalty for missing defensive players
Step 6Compute adjusted NRtg: season-long + trailing 10-game (HCA [1.8 base, 3.8 DEN, 3.5 BOS], B2B −2.0/−2.5)
Step 7Compute lineup synergy adjusted by opponent defensive scheme
Step 8Blend: 40% MOJI + 10% Season NRtg + 30% Trailing 10-Game NRtg + 20% SYN = raw power
Step 9Proj. Spread = −(raw power), rounded to 0.5
Stocks Penalty0.8 MOJI pts per lost stock (STL+BLK × min share)
Home Court Adv.+2.0 added to home net rating
B2B Penalty−2.0 home / −2.5 road for back-to-back teams
Proj. Total((ORtg+DRtg)/2 × Matchup Pace/100) × 2

Player props marked (PROJ. LINE) are season averages adjusted for opponent defense and pace. Real player props replace projections when released by sportsbooks.

LINEUP COMBINATION ANALYSIS

We track 2-man, 3-man, 4-man, and 5-man lineup combinations across the entire season. Each combo is evaluated by net rating, minutes played, and games played together. Minimum thresholds ensure statistical reliability:

5-Man Lineups30+ possessions minimum
4-Man Lineups50+ possessions minimum
3-Man Lineups75+ possessions minimum
2-Man Lineups100+ possessions minimum

Hot Combos show lineups with the best net ratings this season — these units are outscoring opponents significantly when they share the floor. Fade Combos are the worst-performing groups — teams bleed points when these players are together.

Trend badges (🔥 HEATING UP, ⚡ ELITE FLOOR, 💀 DISASTERCLASS, etc.) use game count and net rating thresholds to flag the most notable lineup trends across the league.

PROP SCORING

Player props are scored on a normalized 0-100 scale per prop type (PTS, AST, REB, PRA, STL+BLK). Each prop is adjusted by opponent defensive rating, pace matchup, and player efficiency (TS%). OVER props trigger for favorable matchups; UNDER props trigger when facing elite defense or when a player has poor efficiency (TS% below 53%).